Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Illinois Fighting Illini Pick – NCAAB March 6, 2022

The Iowa Hawkeyes and Illinois Fighting Illini have one more game in the regular season before the Big Ten Tournament begins.

When the power conferences begin their conference tournaments, this is when the real March Madness begins. Some teams will need to have plenty of success to reach the NCAA Tournament.

There will be no NIT for Iowa and Illinois. They could bypass the Big Ten Tournament and get an invite when it comes to Iowa and Illinois. I can’t be so confident for a team like Michigan, though.

Iowa goes to Champaign in Illinois with a record of 22-8 and 12-7 in the Big Ten. They are coming off a very nice performance over the Michigan Wolverines, 82-71.

The Hawkeyes went to Ann Arbor three days ago and took it to the Wolverines. Michigan was never competitive and Iowa earned a big win for their fifth in a row.

Iowa has made its point, and they don’t need to do much else to reach the NCAA Tournament. The same goes for Illinois coming off a 60-55 win over the Penn State Nittany Lions on Thursday.

This is after an impressive display, also a win at Michigan by a score of 93-85 last weekend. Michigan is soft and Iowa and Illinois both took advantage. Now, who wins between Iowa and Illinois?

Head below for our free Iowa vs. Illinois prediction on March 6, 2022.

Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Illinois Fighting Illini Betting Odds and Team Statistics:

The following odds are courtesy of BetOnline:

Teams Spread Moneyline Total
Iowa Hawkeyes +3.5 (-110) +145 Over 154 (-110)
Illinois Fighting Illini -3.5 (-110) -165 Under 154 (-110)
Team Data Iowa Hawkeyes Illinois Fighting Illini
Overall Record 22-8 21-8
ATS Record 18-12-0 13-16-0
Away/Home Record 6-5 7-8
ATS Away/Home 6-5-0 7-8-0
Points Per Game 83.6 76.3
Points Against Per Game 67.6 70.9
Field Goal % 46.0 45.7
Three Point % 35.8 36.7

Iowa vs. Illinois Prediction:

Both of these teams can score the ball consistently, but one is more well-rounded. Iowa might have the better offense from a statistical standpoint.

They are the fifth-best team in the NBA with 83.6 points per game and a 46% field goal percentage. If there’s any weakness, Iowa has been just okay from beyond the arc with a 35.8% three-point percentage.

Iowa also hasn’t been as hot on the road, where they’ve netted 76.7 points per game and a 44% field goal percentage. Still more than enough for Iowa to have success, but they can be beaten on the other end of the floor.

The Hawkeyes depend pretty well exclusively on their offensive firepower. The Iowa defense leaves something to be desired, especially on the road. Iowa is allowing 74.4 points per game and a 46.5% FGA.

When Iowa needs a big stop in the NCAA Tournament, the Hawkeyes could be empty. They could just shoot the lights out and win a high-scoring game or improve defensively, but the Hawkeyes are going to run into a big task.

Illinois has the defensive advantage on the Hawkeyes. They are strong at home, with 65.4 points against per game. Opponents are shooting just 39.7% against Illinois in Champaign.

Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Illinois Fighting Illini Betting Trends:

  • 4-1 ATS in their previous five games
  • The away team is 2-6 ATS in their previous eight games versus Illinois
  • The underdog is 2-5 ATS in their previous seven games versus Illinois
  • 3-14 overall in their previous 17 games at Illinois
  • UNDER is 4-1 in their previous five games
  • 17-3 overall in their previous 20 games at home
  • 14-3 overall in their previous 17 games versus Iowa at home
  • The home team is 6-2 ATS in their previous eight games versus Illinois
  • The favorite is 5-2 ATS in their previous seven games versus Illinois
  • UNDER is 8-3 in their previous 11 games versus a team with a winning record

Iowa has a dangerous offense, but the Fighting Illini have been better at home than the Hawkeyes on the road. The Fighting Illini are scoring 79.6 points per game on 46.9% shooting at home this season.

Following a standout win at Michigan, I could see the Hawkeyes regressing at Illinois on Sunday night. This looks like a good spot for Illinois to get out ahead and stay there at home. I’m backing Illinois in an 83-76 win and cover.


Iowa vs. Illinois Pick
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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