Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Michigan Wolverines Pick – NCAAB March 3, 2022

The Iowa Hawkeyes and Michigan Wolverines meet in Ann Arbor at the Crisler Center on Thursday night. This Big Ten matchup is a big contest for Michigan.

It is do-or-die time if they’re going to the NCAA Tournament. Michigan has to beat Iowa to stay awake in the NCAA Tournament race.

They are on a very big bubble at the moment that could pop at any moment. The Wolverines are going into Thursday night with a record of 16-12 and a mark of 10-8 in the Big Ten.

The NCAA Tournament committee is going to do their best to attempt to get Michigan in. A team like Michigan in the dance is good for business. However, Michigan isn’t making it easy on them.

The Wolverines had a big chance against the Illinois Fighting Illini on Sunday in Ann Arbor. This didn’t go well for Michigan, as they suffered a big body blow with a 93-85 loss.

In what amounted to a must-win situation versus the Michigan State Spartans, the Wolverines came through with a standout performance.

Michigan smacked the Spartans for an 87-70 win at home on Tuesday. They really needed that one. Their form can’t drop off against Iowa tonight.

Beat Iowa tonight, and then Michigan has a chance to win at Ohio State to close out the season. That’d put Michigan in a good spot going into the Big Ten Tournament.

Iowa is coming off an 82-61 win over the Northwestern Wildcats on Monday for their fourth straight win. The Hawkeyes are playing good basketball, though they lost to Michigan on February 17 at home. Since the loss, the Hawkeyes have won four in a row.

Head below for our free Iowa vs. Michigan prediction on March 3, 2022.

Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Michigan Wolverines Betting Odds and Team Statistics:

The following odds are courtesy of BetOnline:

Teams Spread Moneyline Total
Iowa Hawkeyes +2 (-110) +119 Over 155 (-110)
Michigan Wolverines -2 (-110) -139 Under 155 (-110)
Team Data Iowa Hawkeyes Michigan Wolverines
Overall Record 21-8 16-12
ATS Record 17-12-0 12-16-0
Away/Home Record 5-5 10-4
ATS Away/Home 5-5-0 6-8-0
Points Per Game 83.7 73.2
Points Against Per Game 70.9 69.3
Field Goal % 45.8 47.3
Three Point % 35.2 33.8

Iowa vs. Michigan Prediction:

Michigan is still without Juwan Howard on the sideline, which will remain for the regular season. The head coach is eligible to return for the Big Ten Tournament. Howard hopes to be coaching in the NCAA Tournament and not the NIT after the conference tournament.

A win against Iowa would put Michigan closer to the NCAA Tournament. Iowa must be well-prepared against a Hawkeye team that is fifth in the NCAA with 83.7 points per game and a 45.8% field goal percentage.

They do drop off on the road, though. The Hawkeyes are just .500 as a visitor and scoring 76.2 points per game on a 43.2% field goal percentage. The defense hasn’t made up for the offensive regression on the road.

Iowa is allowing 74.7 points per game and a 46.1% FGA on the road this season. They haven’t been too hot at home or on the road defensively, though. The Hawkeyes are 238th in the NCAA, with 70.9 points allowed per game.

Michigan found room to score a few weeks ago at Iowa. They put in 84 points, as Moussa Diabate dominated in the paint with 28 points and 8 rebounds. Expect the Wolverines to bang in the paint again, likely with Hunter Dickinson this time.

Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Michigan Wolverines Betting Trends:

  • 1-4 ATS in their previous five games versus Michigan
  • 2-8 ATS in their previous ten games at Michigan
  • 2-5 ATS in their previous seven games on a Thursday
  • OVER is 8-2-1 in their previous 11 games after covering the spread
  • OVER is 5-2 in their previous seven games on the road
  • 7-2 overall in their previous nine games at home
  • 8-2 ATS in their previous ten games at home versus Iowa
  • 4-1 ATS in their previous five games on a Thursday
  • The favorite is 4-1 ATS in their previous five games versus Iowa
  • The home team is 5-1 ATS in their previous six games versus Iowa

This season, Michigan is scoring 73.2 points per game on a 47.3% field goal percentage. The Wolverines have netted 76 points a game on better than 50% shooting from the field at the Crisler Center.

I’m not concerned with the Iowa defense, which has had many issues this season. The Michigan defensive pressure has tightened up at home, though. They have conceded 67.4 points per game with a 44.5%.

Michigan has won five of their last six meetings against Iowa, and they have a good chance in this one. They really need it, especially after Rutgers came up big at Indiana last night. I give Michigan the edge in an 81-74 final in Ann Arbor.


Iowa vs. Michigan Pick
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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