Iowa State Cyclones vs. Baylor Bears Pick – NCAAM February 23, 2021

The Iowa State Cyclones and Baylor Bears meet at the Ferrell Center after a lengthy layoff for Baylor. The Bears haven’t played since a 83-69 win over the Texas Longhorns on the road. That was insanely impressive for Baylor. To go on the road and beat up on one of the better teams in the country can’t be underestimated.

Winning on the road to begin with is difficult, but doing it against the No. 14 team in the country by two touchdowns is a mighty fine win. It is one of many impressive displays by Baylor this season. They head into Tuesday night with a record of 17-0. The only other team in the NCAA with a perfect record is the Gonzaga Bulldogs.

Baylor and Gonzaga appear to be on a collision course for the National Championship. That said, don’t discount the Michigan Wolverines so quickly, though. Juwan Howard has those boys focused and ready to roll in March. Layoff? No problem. Michigan goes on the road to Columbus to beat their rivals, the Ohio State Buckeyes, 92-87.

The top-3 in the country looks right with Gonzaga, Baylor, and Michigan up there. You could easily swap Baylor with Gonzaga and it would make sense as well. Baylor is the more battle tested team, especially late in the season. Gonzaga beat the power conference schools early on in impressive fashion. However, they’ve been piling it on in a paper thin West Coast Conference since then.

For the people that believe Gonzaga hasn’t played anyone, that’s false. I will give credence to people that say they haven’t played a quality team in a while, though. Gun to my head, I’d be taking Baylor over Gonzaga on a neutral court right now. We’ll see if anything changes in March, or if they’ll even have a chance to meet. Upsets do tend to happen in March.

Iowa State is coming off a 66-55 loss against the Oklahoma Sooners. They’re on an epic slide of 12 straight losses.. The Cyclones haven’t won a game since December 20 against Jackson State, 60-45. They started out slow this season, but I don’t believe anyone expected what was to come for this group. Iowa State goes into Waco with a mark of 2-16 on their resume. Head below for our free Iowa State vs. Baylor pick on February 23, 2021.

Iowa State Cyclones vs. Baylor Bears NCAA Betting Odds:


  • Iowa St. +23 (-110)
  • Baylor -23 (-110)

  • Iowa St. OFF
  • Baylor OFF

  • Over 147 (-110)
  • Under 147 (-110)


Iowa State vs. Baylor Prediction:

Iowa State has played in competitive games here and there this season. They came close recently on the road against the TCU Horned Frogs in a 79-76 loss on February 9. They also took West Virginia to the wire, 76-72, and Oklahoma in a tightly contested game, 79-72. However, since the loss against TCU, Iowa State hasn’t been close with losses against Kansas, 97-64 and 64-50, then 76-58 against Oklahoma State, and 66-56 against Oklahoma most recently.

In other words, Iowa State hasn’t been within single digits in four straight games. The Cyclones don’t do anything exceptionally well on either side of the court. Iowa State has recorded an average of 65.6 points per game for 304th in the NCAA. This is typically a team that can shoot the ball. That hasn’t been the case by any means in 2020-21, though. It’s important to be able to connect from deep in this era, and Iowa State isn’t doing it well enough. They’re shooting 32.1% from beyond the arc.

Compare this with Baylor, who leads the country with 43.9% shooting from three. Overall from the field, Baylor is shooting an impressive 50.7% from the field for eighth in the NCAA. Only Gonzaga has scored more points per game than the Bears. Baylor has netted 87 points per game, and they’ve ran up the scoreboard against some fairly decent defensive squads. They haven’t been beating up against the Iowa State’s of the world, but the Bears do have an opportunity to beat up Iowa State on Tuesday evening at home.

The Cyclones have been getting hammered 77 points against per contest. That’s good for 309th in the country. Opponents are shooting 45.9% against Iowa State this season. Expect Davion Mitchell to have a field day against the Cyclones tonight. He is likely in for a big performance. The Cyclones likely aren’t going to have an answer in this one and likely allow this game to get out of hand. The layoff for Baylor might be seen as a negative for the Bears, but I’m sure they are raring to go after a few weeks off. I’m seeing a 93-65 win for Baylor to win and cover.


Our Bet
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.