LSU Tigers vs. Alabama Crimson Tide Pick – NCAAM March 14, 2021

The LSU Tigers and Alabama Crimson Tide dance at the Bridgestone Arena in Nashville to wrap up the SEC Tournament on Sunday afternoon. This should play out as a highly entertaining game, and a contest that is likely going to come down to the final minutes of play. Alabama beat Mississippi State handedly, 85-48, and then a closer call on Saturday against Tennessee, 73-68.

Along with those two tournament wins, Alabama were on a three-game winning streak and had wins in six of their previous seven games before going into the postseason. Alabama owns a record of 23-6 and finished 16-2 in the SEC. They were the No. 1 seed in the SEC Tournament for good reason and deserved to win the SEC regular season title. Alabama was the best team in the conference through the regular season despite not getting the most respect.

It wasn’t often that you heard much about Alabama. They didn’t get much attention, but didn’t need it to put together a standout season. The Crimson Tide have an offense that could get hot at the perfect time and run deep into the NCAA Tournament. As the No. 6 team in the country, Alabama is certainly capable of making a push all the way to the Final Four.

Baylor certainly isn’t as hot as they were early in the season, Michigan just suffered a major injury to Isaiah Livers, and Gonzaga hasn’t been tested in Months. In other words, this is going to be a wide open tournament that is there for any hot team to steal. Alabama could be that team to get hot. They can’t concern themselves with the NCAA Tournament yet, though. The Crimson Tide have a very good LSU Tigers team in front of them this afternoon.

LSU has the kind of offense that could get hot from the field as well. The Tigers enter Sunday on a four-game winning streak, with an impressive win over the No. 2 team in the SEC. They bounced Arkansas yesterday by a score of 78-71. LSU is no stranger to being an underdog, as two of their last three wins were as a dog. Despite going into Saturday as a 3.5-point underdog, the Tigers beat Arkansas by 7 points. Head below for our free LSU vs. Alabama pick on March 14, 2021.

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LSU Tigers vs. Alabama Crimson Tide SEC Championship Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • LSU +7 (-110)
  • Alabama -7 (-110)
Moneyline:

  • LSU +250
  • Alabama -300
Total:

  • Over 157 (-110)
  • Under 157 (-110)

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LSU vs. Alabama Prediction:

LSU and Alabama have both been highly underrated teams this season. Alabama is No. 6 in the country, and that seems fair, but they don’t get nearly as much hype as some of the other top teams in the country. And when it comes to LSU, they’re not even on the map and unranked. There are several teams in the Top 25 that I would put LSU over, and oddsmakers would likely have them favorites over many as well.

Defenses can’t sleep on LSU in the NCAA Tournament, and that includes Alabama in the SEC Championship on Sunday afternoon. The Tigers were one of the best shooting teams in the country with 82.7 points per game. That was good for tenth in the nation. Along with a 46.9% field goal percentage, the Tigers were one of the most feared offenses in the country.

In a time in the season where free-throw shooting is critically important, the Tigers can hit their freebies from the line, too. LSU is shooting 74.6% from the line for 54th in the country. LSU has scored an average of 79.6 points per game through their last five outings, so they’ve been playing well consistently on offense. The defense is where LSU suffers, and they are going to have to be better defensively than they’ve shown throughout the season.

However, if their effort against Arkansas is any indication, then the Tigers are going to be fine this afternoon and in the NCAA Tournament. LSU held a very good Arkansas team to 71 points in a 78-71 win. The only players that got going for Arkansas was Moses Moody and Justin Smith. Overall this season, the Tigers gave up 75.4 points per game, while Alabama conceded 5 points fewer at 70.3 points per game.

The Crimson Tide can put up points in a hurry like LSU. They netted 79.6 points per game for 31st, so slightly behind the Tigers in that regard. LSU has been connecting at a much better clip from the field, though. They’re hitting at a 46.9% clip for 54th, while Alabama is converting at a 43.1% rate for 231st.

In their previous five tilts, the Crimson Tide shot 41.3% from the field and posted 76.2 points per game. They didn’t look too impressive against Tennessee on Saturday. Conversely, LSU is shooting 44.6% from the field in their last five. This looks like a case of too many points to lay on Alabama. LSU may not be ranked, but they’ve looked like a ranked team that belongs. The Tigers have looked comfortable on a neutral court this season with a record of 3-0. Give me the points.

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Our Bet
LSU TIGERS +7
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.