Marquette Golden Eagles at Villanova Wildcats – NCAAM February 10

9:00 p.m. Marquette at Villanova (-11) O/U: 139

Teams Spread Money Line Total Points
Marquette +11 (-107) +485 O 139 (-105)
Villanova -11 (-113) -625 U 139 (-115)

The 9-10 Golden Eagles head to Villanova to take on the 12-2 Wildcats Wednesday night. Marquette was last in action on Saturday, losing 71-68 at home to Creighton. Villanova suffered its first conference loss of the season last Wednesday at St. John’s, but was able to rebound nicely on Sunday by defeating Georgetown at home, 84-74. These two teams met back on Dec. 23 in Wisconsin, where the Wildcats prevailed 85-68 largely due to an explosive 49-point second half.

Marquette Golden Eagles LogoThe Golden Eagles are led by guard D.J. Carton’s team-high average of 12.7 points per game this season. The Wildcats’ leading scorer is Jeremiah Robinson-Earl with 15.3 points per game. But with Villanova having five players averaging in double figures, the Wildcats can attack you many ways on the offensive end. In the first game it was Collin Gillespie spearheading the attack with 22 points on 6-of-11 shooting from 2-point range. Marquette shot 51 percent from the field in the first matchup, but that wasn’t enough to overcome their mishandling of the basketball.
The biggest reason for the 17-point blowout in Villanova’s favor was the turnover margin. Marquette committed 16 turnovers as opposed to the four turnovers Nova committed.

Villanova Wildcats LogoMarquette may be 6-13 against the spread this season, but they have two top-10 wins this season, beating then-No.4 Wisconsin and then-No.9 Creighton earlier. The Villanova defense has shown weakness in the past three games, allowing 70 points or more in each of them. The first matchup combined for 153 points and it ended up being a blowout. You see where we’re going here. The Over/Under total of 139 would have made more sense three weeks ago. Since then, however, with the Wildcats’ defense trending downward, it is too low. Villanova still boasts one of the most efficient offenses in the country, scoring 77.9 points per game this season. Bet on Marquette’s offense to score enough against Villanova’s suddenly vulnerable defense to send the game over the O/U total of 139.

The Bet
Over 139
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Joe Menzer / Author

Joe is an award-winning writer and editor who has covered the NBA, NFL, NASCAR, golf, various collegiate athletics and other sports for newspapers, Turner Sports, Fox Sports and ESPN. He has been on the beat for seven Super Bowls, six Daytona 500s and numerous NBA playoff series and All-Star Games. He once was dispatched to Rome, Italy to spend time with an NBA draft choice who opted to play overseas, after which he produced an award-winning series of stories. He also is passionate about fantasy sports and breaking down games in ways that even novice gamblers can use to make their most intelligent wagering decisions.

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