Miami Hurricanes at Florida State Seminoles – NCAAM January 27

Miami (6-8, 2-7) at No. 16 Florida State (9-2, 5-1)

  • Time: 3PM PST | 5PM CST | 6PM EST
  • Location: Donald Tucker Center, Tallahassee, FL
  • TV: ACC Network

Opening Tip

After a 3-game pause, Florida State has come back with a vengeance after winning four games in a row by an average of 17.8 points per game. FSU exacted revenge with an 80-61 win over Clemson as the Tigers handed them their only loss in the ACC campaign back on Dec. 29. The Seminoles are one game back of Virginia as they now have their sites set on their second ACC championship in a row.

The Hurricanes have lost three out of four with an upset of Louisville in that mix. Coach Jim Larrañaga’s squad has battled through major injury woes. Of the 15 teams in the ACC, Miami is the only squad without a game postponed during the COVID-19 pandemic.

FSU leads the series, 49-36, and the Seminoles boast a commanding 32-8 advantage in Tallahassee. A win here would tie the ‘Noles longest winning streak against the Hurricanes at six games.

Vs. The Spread


  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami’s last 6 games
  • The Hurricanes are 2-11 SU in their last 13 road tilts
  • Miami is 1-5 SU in it’s last 6 games at FSU

Florida State:

  • The Seminoles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games
  • The OVER has been the play in 5 consecutive games for the Seminoles
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of the last 6 games between the Hurricanes and the Seminoles

Last Time Out

Florida State rolled to an 80-61 win over Clemson at the Tucker Center on Saturday as the Seminoles held Clemson to 30.4 percent in holding the Tigers to the lowest number of points for one of their opponents in an ACC game this season. Sadaar Calhoun and Balsa Koprivica led FSU with 13 each.

Miami fell at home to Notre Dame, 73-59, on Sunday night. Kam McGusty led the ‘Canes with 20 points as Miami was only 3-of-22 from behind the arc while the Fighting Irish made 10-of-18 triples.

Teams Spread Money Line Total Points
Miami +11 (-110) +520 O 140.5 (-110)
Florida State -11 (-110) -700 U 140.5 (-110)

Hurricanes Stat Pack

  • Elijah Olaniyi is averaging 10.3 points and 4.8 rebounds over his last eight games while shooting 46.2 percent from the field.
  • The Hurricanes hold their opponents to 28.1 percent from three in their six wins, but allow a massive 45 percent from the arc in their eight losses.
  • Miami is only the second team in ACC history to lose three games in a row by five points or fewer (Dec. 29 – Jan. 5). The other was the 1989-90 Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets. (Elias Sports Bureau).

Hurricanes Grease Board

Miami Hurricanes LogoInjuries have gripped The U once again this season as their four returning senior starters have played in 10 of a possible 56 games in which they were available start to finish. The loss to Notre Dame is a microcosm of the season and the ups and downs that the Hurricanes have had in defending the triple. AS FSU shoots 39.1 percent on the season from three, this game has potential to get ugly in a hurry. Leading scorer M.J. Walker (14.4 ppg) nets 23-of-52 and sits at 44.2 percent while Anthony Polite, who has missed the last two games with a shoulder injury has netted 16-of-30. Sadaar Calhoun (12-of-25) and Raiquan Evans (9-of-19) come off the bench to pick up the slack from three.

Seminoles Stat Pack

  • In the Seminoles’ first six ACC games, they have led by double digits in all six, led at halftime in all six, led by 20 or more points in three of six, and led by (+30) in two of the six.
  • RaiQuan Gray has averaged 12.3 points, 2.7 assists and shot 64 percent from the floor – 17-of-27 – in his last three games.
  • Scottie Barnes averages more rebounds (4.3) as FSU’s sixth man than he does as a starter (3.8) over his first seven games.

Seminoles Grease Board

Florida State Seminoles LogoThe Hurricanes’ offensive struggles are well documented as are the injuries, but one thing FSU has to be wary of is the potential of Hurricanes’ leading scorer Isaiah Wong (17.4 ppg, 5.8 rpg) and his ability to get on a scoring roll and torch the nets to keep Miami in position to win games. Wong is always in attack mode as he has six games this season with 20-plus points and 12 with 10-plus points. Wong is averaging 23 points per game over his last five games. The depth – nine ‘Noles average double figures in minutes – and length of FSU’s defense is likely to at least neutralize Wong who once again has the multi-dimensional Kam McGusty back as he comes off a 20-game vs. Notre Dame.

Winner: Florida State (-11) 80, Miami 63
Over-Under: Take OVER 140.5

The Bets
Florida State Seminoles -11
OVER 140.5
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Kenneth Cross / Author

Kenneth Cross is a new entry to The Sports Geek staff as he has 25 years of experience in print, broadcast, and internet sports journalism. Cross is a lover of all sports, but college basketball is his passion. He estimates that he has seen around 1,500 college basketball games - live and in-person - and hopes that grows this season. If you listen to Radio, you have likely heard him on Sundays covering the Carolina Panthers for some 20 years. Now in Tampa Bay, he works as a national radio correspondent.

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