Missouri Tigers at Georgia Bulldogs – NCAAM Feb 16

No. 20 Missouri (13-5, 6-5) at Georgia (12-8, 5-8)

  • Time: 4PM PST | 6PM CST | 7PM EST
  • Location: Stegeman Coliseum, Athens, GA
  • TV: SEC Network

Opening Tip

After a pair of tough losses to Ole Miss and Arkansas, Missouri starts with a winnable road game at Georgia, a team that the Tigers have beaten three times in a row. The Tigers have fallen back into a fifth place time with Tennessee with the five losses while Arkansas, LSU, and Florida sit in fourth place with four.

Georgia is 5-8 and trying to stay out of the play-in game scenario on the first night of the SEC Tournament which is just three weeks away. The Bulldogs have lost two in a row after Alabama and Tennessee averaged 102 points in rendering the ‘Dogs last week. It’s Georgia’s third game in a row vs. a ranked opponent.

Missouri has an 8-7 lead in the series but Georgia is 4-2 at home.

Vs. The Spread

Missouri:

  • Mizzou is 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 7 of the Tigers’ last 8 games
  • The Tigers are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games vs. Georgia

Georgia:

  • The number has been OVER in 9 of Georgia’s last 13 games
  • UNDER has been the play in 8 of the last 11 games between the Bulldogs and the Tigers
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the last 5 Tigers-Bulldogs games in Athens

Last Time Out

Xavier Pinson scored 23 points and Dru Smith added 15, but it wasn’t enough as Missouri dropped an 86-81 home loss to Arkansas. The Tigers had a tough time reeling in the Hogs’ offense as Arkansas shot 46.3 percent from the floor and made 8-of-21 threes.

Alabama made 18-of-30 three points shots and Georgia was only 2-of-9 from long range as the Crimson Tide rolled over the Bulldogs, 115-82. Georgia’s K.D. Johnson led all scorers with 24 points as Alabama took the lead at 8-6 and never looked back.

Teams Spread Money Line Total Points
Missouri -3 (-113) -155 O 153 (-115)
Georgia +3 (-107) +135 U 153 (-105)

Advantage, Mizzou

The Tigers will once again play without big man Jeremiah Tilmon, who is out due to a death in the family, so the hot-shooting duo Xavier Pinson (14.7 ppg, 3.1 rpg) and Dru Smith (14.2 ppg, 3.8 rpg) will crank up their offensive games against the struggling Bulldogs’ defense. Both players will shoot the three and try to get to the hoop off the dribble as they each shoot over 80 percent from the line. Pinson’s five threes on Saturday were his most since eight vs. TCU five games ago. Dru Smith has averaged 18 points and 5.2 rebounds per game over his last four. Georgia’s last four opponents have shot 51. 9 percent from the field.

Key Tigers Stat:

Missouri’s 13 three-pointers in Saturday’s loss to Arkansas were a season-high. The Tigers shot 41.4 percent from behind the arc in last week’s pair of games. Meanwhile, Alabama and Tennessee combined to knock down 28-of-54 threes, combined, vs. Georgia’s defense last week.

X-Factor:

Kobe Brown and Mitchell Smith look to pick up the slack in the paint with Tilmon out for at least tonight’s game. Brown and Smith are second and third on the team in rebounds with 6.0 and 5.1 per game, but with Tilmon out, Missouri will not have a rim-protector so Georgia could go at the middle with big man Toumani Camara who averages 12.6 points and shoots 48.9 percent from the field.

Advantage, Georgia

Camara may be option number one anyway as Georgia has generally struggled from behind the arc and at the line as they only shoot 68.3 percent in SEC play. K.D. Johnson has given the Bulldogs a big lift as he leads them in scoring (14.1 ppg.) since becoming eligible 10 games ago. Johnson is third in made threes behind P.J. Horne (34) and Justin Kier (28).

Key Bulldogs Stat:

In SEC play, Georgia’s opponents have shot 48.6 percent and averaged 84.8 points per game – unfathomable numbers for any team regardless of conference. Finding Pinson and Dru Smith in transition and on the perimeter is a must if the Bulldogs are to have any shot at winning this game because the three-point defense has given up 38.3 percent this season as well. Missouri’s Mark Smith is another problem from three as he has made 27.

X-Factor:

When a team has as much trouble defending as Georgia does, turnovers are a big no-no. The Bulldogs have averaged 16.9 turnovers per game in league play and this number has to drop tonight against the experienced and opportunistic Missouri guards. The Tigers have forced 16.3 turnovers per game in their last four outings.

Winner: Missouri (-3) 78, Georgia 67
Over-Under: Take UNDER 153

The Bets
Missouri Tigers -3
-113
UNDER 153
-105
Sub Categories:
Kenneth Cross / Author

Kenneth Cross is a new entry to The Sports Geek staff as he has 25 years of experience in print, broadcast, and internet sports journalism. Cross is a lover of all sports, but college basketball is his passion. He estimates that he has seen around 1,500 college basketball games - live and in-person - and hopes that grows this season. If you listen to Radio, you have likely heard him on Sundays covering the Carolina Panthers for some 20 years. Now in Tampa Bay, he works as a national radio correspondent.