Missouri Tigers at Mississippi State Bulldogs – NCAAM January 5

No. 13 Missouri (7-1, 1-1) at Mississippi State (6-4, 1-1)

  • Time: 6PM PST, 8PM CST and 9PM EST
  • Location: Humphrey Coliseum, Starkville, MS
  • NAT TV: SEC Network


Mississippi State is 9-5 vs. Missouri as the Tigers have just one win in the series in Starkville. The Bulldogs have won eight of the last nine as they swept the season series last year. The only Missouri win in that run was on Feb. 10, 2018 when the Tigers bested the Bulldogs, 89-85, in overtime at Missouri Arena.

Vs. The Spread

To take MSU’s dominance in the series even further, the Tigers are 0-9 ATS in the last nine when tangling with the Bulldogs. Mizzou is 6-3 ATS in their last nine games and the total has gone UNDER in four of Missouri’s last six games. On the flip side, the total has gone OVER in five of Mississippi State’s last seven outings and the Bulldogs are 13-1 SU in their last 14 games at home.

Teams Spread Money Line Total Points
Missouri -2.5 (-110) -145 O 136.5 (-110)
Mississippi State +2.5 (-110) +125 U 136.5 (-110)

Last Time Out

The Tigers atoned for their mid-week loss to Tennessee with an 81-68 win at Arkansas. Missouri held the Razorbacks to 26.8 percent from the field, which was the lowest shooting percentage in history for Arkansas in Bud Walton Arena. Senior Jeremiah Tillmon led the Tigers with 25 points and 11 rebounds and Xavier Pinson netted 23 points.

Mississippi State led Kentucky by nine points midway through the second half, but after two technical fouls were whistled on coach John Calipari, Kentucky drew even for two extra sessions. The Bulldogs gave up 18 points off 19 Kentucky offensive rebounds as D.J. Stewart tallied 19 points to lead the ‘Dog

Mizzou Mania

Missouri Tigers LogoCuonzo Martin’s teams always play the tight, physical defense in the half court as opponents have been staggered at 38.3 percent and 26.2 percent from behind the arc. This will be a war of attrition both ways as DJ Stewart (20), Jalen Johnson (16) and Iverson Molinar (15) anchor a Bulldogs’ 3-point attack that connects for 37.1 percent on the season.

Xavier Pinson has taken a huge role in the scoring punch of the offense as he has averaged 17.8 points over the last 13 games dating back to last season. He is also using his ability to get to the rim and draw the foul as he has seen the stripe 50 times this season.

Hail State

Mississippi State Bulldogs LogoThe Bulldogs are a paint-driven team in averaging 33.4 points per game inside as 13.1 of these are off the fast break and 13.6 of these are on the offensive boards. Tolu Smith (12.5 ppg, 8.9 rpg) and Abdul Ado (52.3%, 6.2 rpg) are a tough matchup with their size on both ends of the floor. It will be interesting to see the impact that they might be able to have on Missouri big man Jeremiah Tillmon (10.4 ppg, 6.8 rpg) and sophomore Kobe Brown (6.5 ppg, 6.0 rpg) down low. Smith’s imposing size has gotten him to the free throw line 56 times, but he has only made 33. Whomever controls the boards is going to have an upper hand in this game as Mississippi State is at a (+9.4) while Mizzou checks in at (+5.5).

Molinar (18.4 ppg) and Stewart (18.3) have played with efficiency inside the Mississippi State offense this season as Molinar is 22-for-45 from the floor over his last three games while Stewart got to the line a season high 10 times and made eight free throws against Kentucky.

Winner: Mississippi State (+2.5) 72, Missouri 69
Over-Under: Take OVER 136.5

The Bets
Mississippi State Bulldogs +2.5
OVER 136.5
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Kenneth Cross / Author

Kenneth Cross is a new entry to The Sports Geek staff as he has 25 years of experience in print, broadcast, and internet sports journalism. Cross is a lover of all sports, but college basketball is his passion. He estimates that he has seen around 1,500 college basketball games - live and in-person - and hopes that grows this season. If you listen to Radio, you have likely heard him on Sundays covering the Carolina Panthers for some 20 years. Now in Tampa Bay, he works as a national radio correspondent.