Missouri Tigers vs Oklahoma Sooners – NCAAM March 20

Mar. 20 7:25 p.m. ET – West Region

No. 9 Missouri vs. No. 8 Oklahoma (-1) O/U:139½

Teams Spread Money Line Total Points
Missouri +1 (-115) -105 O 139½ (-110)
Oklahoma -1 (-105) -115 U 139½ (-110)

The 16-9 Tigers take on the 15-10 Sooners on Saturday night in the round of 64 inside Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis. Missouri spent the middle of the season inside the Associated Press Top 25 before losing six of its last 10 games, including a loss to Arkansas in the quarterfinals of the SEC tournament. Oklahoma had a similar season arc, losing six of its last 10 games, most recently getting bounced by Kansas in the Big 12 semifinals.

Since Jan. 30 the Sooners have only one win against a team not named Iowa State, a squad that was unable to win a single Big 12 game all season.

Missouri Tigers LogoVeteran guard Xavier Pinson leads the Tigers with 14.1 points per game this season, but big man Jeremiah Tilmon, who averages 12.3 points and seven rebounds per game despite missing several weeks during the season with a stress fracture of his left foot, could be the deciding factor Saturday night.

Oklahoma Sooners LogoOklahoma guard Austin Reaves leads the Soonersin all major stat categories with 17.7 points, 5.7 rebound and 4.7 rebounds per game this year. The bigger story is who the Sooners will be without, and that is guard De’Vion Harmon who averaged 12.9 points per game this season but is unavailable against Missouri because of a positive COVID-19 test.

Please Note:
These two teams limped down the stretch and were even worse at covering the spread, going 5-15 against it in their last 20 games combined. Missouri was without veteran big man Tilmon for two of its losses, while Oklahoma had Harmon for all of its hardships. The only reason the Sooners are still favored in this game is that they played in a superior conference. But if you analyze the two teams that will step on the court Saturday night, the edge actually goes to the Tigers.

Oklahoma is not the same team now that beat SEC regular-season and tournament champion Alabama in late January. The Sooners are floundering and have lost the offensive efficiency that led this team to early-season success. In a game that should end up being a low-scoring rock fight, take the team who has won quite a few of them this season in Missouri.

The Bet
Missouri +1
-115

*Odds courtesy of MyBookie

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Joe Menzer / Author

Joe is an award-winning writer and editor who has covered the NBA, NFL, NASCAR, golf, various collegiate athletics and other sports for newspapers, Turner Sports, Fox Sports and ESPN. He has been on the beat for seven Super Bowls, six Daytona 500s and numerous NBA playoff series and All-Star Games. He once was dispatched to Rome, Italy to spend time with an NBA draft choice who opted to play overseas, after which he produced an award-winning series of stories. He also is passionate about fantasy sports and breaking down games in ways that even novice gamblers can use to make their most intelligent wagering decisions.