New Mexico Lobos vs. Colorado State Rams Pick – NCAAM February 9, 2021

The New Mexico Lobos and Colorado State Rams are scheduled to do battle at Moby Arena in Fort Collins on Tuesday night. This is another big game for Colorado State, as has been the case for the past few weeks and will continue to be for the rest of the season. They have their eyes set on the NCAA Tournament, and have a strong case for winning the Mountain West. Colorado State is neck and neck with Boise State, San Diego State, and Utah State for top honors in the conference.

The Rams recently took a split against Boise State and Utah State. Between these four teams, and even Nevada to a lesser extent, it’s more of a case of who wants to show up that night. The talent is there for any team to win the Mountain West. It’s going to make for an exciting Mountain West tournament in March. Even if Colorado State doesn’t win the conference, they can still get into the tournament if they finish strong in the regular season.

At 14-4 on the season, they have to be looked at as a bubble team at the moment. There are other teams out there with stronger strength of schedules, so they can’t afford any snafus down the stretch. They’d face a situation where winning the Mountain West is a must. Losing against hapless New Mexico would put a sore spot on their resume. If Colorado State is interested in playing tonight, that shouldn’t be a question, but we’ve seen times show up flat against inferior competition often in the Covid-19 season.

Colorado State has looked focused and determined over the last couple of months, though. The Rams are back home following a trip to Wyoming for two games. That was a successful road trip, as the Rams were in good form in wins of 74-72 and 68-59. It made for their fourth win in their previous five outings, the only loss on the road against Boise State, 85-77. Prior to that defeat, Colorado State pounded the Broncos by a score of 78-56 on January 27. They have to stay focused against 5-11 New Mexico tonight. Head below for our free New Mexico vs. Colorado State pick on February 9, 2021.

New Mexico Lobos vs. Colorado State Rams NCAA Betting Odds:


  • New Mexico +17 (-110)
  • Colorado St. -17 (-110)

  • New Mexico OFF
  • Colorado St. OFF

  • Over 142.5 (-105)
  • Under 142.5 (-115)


New Mexico vs. Colorado State Prediction:

New Mexico is in search of their first win since January 21 against San Jose State on a neutral court. They’ve won just a couple of their previous 14 games. During their last 14 outings, New Mexico has beaten San Jose State, 67-51, and Dixie State, 72-63. New Mexico was on a six-game losing streak before getting a break with a trip to Dixie State. In their other wins this season, the Lobos have beaten Rice, 72-61, Our Lady of the Lake, 104-65, and LeTourneau, 90-58.

If you don’t follow college basketball, I will just cut straight to the point and let you know that none of those wins are impressive in the least. New Mexico’s “best” win this season was against San Jose State, 67-51. San Jose State is a 5-12 team and 3-10 in the Mountain West, so that goes to show how difficult this season has been for the Lobos. Conversely, Colorado State dispatched San Jose State, 90-57 and 88-61. Not much of a comparison, and San Jose State returned to beat New Mexico on January 23, 83-71. New Mexico has netted just 63.6 points per game for 323rd in the NCAA.

They are one of the worst teams in the country at shooting the three ball. They haven’t been able to hit anything, with a conversion rate of 25.4%. If Colorado State forces New Mexico into shooting threes, this should turn into a rout in favor of the Rams. They also can’t shoot free throws either, so they can’t depend on the charity stripe. The Lobos are connecting at the line with 60.7% shooting. That’s inexcusable for a college basketball program to shoot free throws that poorly.

It goes uglier for New Mexico State on the road as well. They’ve posted a measly 58.3 points per game on the season. It’s tough to see the Lobos keeping up with a Colorado State offense that is scoring an average of 81 points per game at home in Fort Collins. The Rams are capable of stepping up defensively, with 66.4 points against per game for 79th in the country. I think we’ve seen this game already. It was the 88-61 win for Colorado state over San Jose State on January 16. Expect a similar contest if Colorado State cares to play tonight, and they should given their tournament situation.


Our Bet
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.