There is a late night showdown in Corvallis, Oregon between the Nicholls State Colonels and Oregon State Beavers. Oregon State is looking for something to go well for them this season.
They are going into tonight with a record of 1-10, with one lonely win against Portland State in the season opener on November 9. That’s all Oregon State has to feel good about on their resume.
Even then, is a 73-64 win over Portland State really something to brag about? Oregon State rode a late hot wave to get into the NCAA Tournament last season.
— Oregon State Hoops (@BeaverMBB) December 21, 2021
The Beavers made it to the Eight Elite where Houston took the No. 12 seed down, 67-61. It was a success after having to win the Pac 12 Championship to guarantee a spot in the tournament.
It’s not even January and Oregon State is already approaching their total losses from last year. Oregon State got hot at the right time this past February and March, though they’ve dug a hole too big to overcome in the 2021-22 campaign.
Oregon State used a physical defense to go further than anyone predicted last year. They made it difficult on their opponents to operate offensively.
That hasn’t been the case for Oregon State thus far. Their tough defense hasn’t been present, and they don’t have the horses to run up and down the floor.
Nicholls State will attempt to run the floor and get the Beavers off balance. If the Beavers overlook the Colonels, they could be looking at their 11th loss in 12 games this season.
The Colonels played Wisconsin tough just two games back in a 71-68 loss. They covered easily as 17-point underdogs. Prior to that loss, Nicholls State had three straight wins with 89.6 points scored per game.
There was no letdown for Nicholls State after the meeting versus Wisconsin. They blasted away Mississippi Valley State by 104-73.
Head below for our free Nicholls State vs. Oregon State pick on December 21, 2021.
Nicholls State Colonels vs. Oregon State Beavers Betting Odds and Team Statistics:
The following odds are courtesy of BetUS:
|Nicholls State Colonels||+6 (-110)||+205||Over 143 (-110)|
|Oregon State Beavers||-6 (-110)||-245||Under 143 (-110)|
|Team Data||Nicholls State Colonels||Oregon State Beavers|
|Points Per Game||81.0||65.7|
|Points Against Per Game||66.9||73.1|
|Field Goal %||48.0||43.8|
|Three Point %||36.2||30.5|
Nicholls State vs. Oregon State Prediction:
Oregon State cannot afford to take Nicholls State lightly tonight, or I’m not going to be surprised if they are straight up losers again. Nicholls State are capable of playing offensive basketball.
While they scored just 60 points versus Baylor and 68 versus Wisconsin, I count that as a win against those defenses. There are much bigger programs that haven’t been able to crack Baylor for 60 points.
The Colonels are 25th in the NCAA with 81 points per game and a 48% field goal percentage. In their last five games, which includes a stop in Wisconsin, Nicholls State has scored 88.2 points a game.
They are feeling confident at the moment and should move the ball well on the road tonight. The Oregon State defensive pressure isn’t what we saw from them last year.
Oregon State is 290th in the NCAA on defense, so no, not at all. They’ve conceded 73.1 points per game entering Tuesday evening in Corvallis.
Nicholls State Colonels vs. Oregon State Beavers Betting Trends:
- 1-4 ATS in their previous five games after a win
- 2-5 ATS in their previous seven games after scoring 100 points or more
- OVER is 5-0 in their previous five games
- OVER is 4-1 in their previous five games on the road
- OVER is 6-0 in their previous six games versus a team with a winning percentage less than 40%
- 0-8 ATS in their previous eight games at Oregon State
- 0-4-1 ATS in their previous five games as a betting favorite at Oregon State
- OVER is 4-0 in their previous four games
- OVER is 7-0 in their previous seven games after failing to cover the spread
- OVER is 6-1 in their previous seven games as a betting favorite at Oregon State
Oregon State has to up the physicality and match what they accomplished last year. It hasn’t been present often this season, and they largely look disinterested.
Teams are shooting 45% versus Oregon State this season. That’s just outside the top-300 in the nation. Nicholls State has been shooting the ball well lately, with the Beavers likely having to go on the offensive end to pull away.
The Colonels haven’t been all that on defense, as they’re 160th in the NCAA with 67 points against per game. If Oregon State is going to end their ugly losing streak, it’s going to happen with their shooters tonight.
From what I’ve seen from these two teams, the total looks a bit too short. This looks like a 77-70 or 79-70 game in Corvallis tonight. If you’re looking for a late night play, the OVER looks bettable.