Oklahoma (6-2, 2-1) at No. 2 Baylor (9-0, 2-0)
- Time: 6PM PST | 8PM CST | 9PM EST
- Location: Ferrell Center, Waco, TX
- NAT TV: ESPN2
Oklahoma has controlled this series overall as the Sooners enjoy a 45-19 margin; however, this has belonged to the Bears since 2010 as they hold a 14-10 advantage over last 10 years. Baylor is 7-1 vs. Oklahoma in the last four seasons and they have won five in a row – dating to tonight – for the first time in the series.
Vs. The Spread
The total has gone UNDER in four of Oklahoma’s last five games, but the OVER has been the play in five of the last six Sooners’ road games. OU is 2-6-1 ATS in it’s last nine games against the Bears. Baylor is 7-2 ATS this season and the total has gone UNDER in four of the last six games. The UNDER has been the play in the last five Baylor-Oklahoma games and that UNDER has been the call in six of Baylor’s last seven games vs. OU in Waco.
|Teams||Spread||Money Line||Total Points|
|Oklahoma||+11 (-115)||+520||O 151 (+105)|
|Baylor||-11 (-105)||-700||U 151 (-125)|
Last Time Out
Oklahoma took an 18-point lead to the locker room in their 75-71 win over then No. 9 West Virginia over the weekend. However, the Mountaineers stormed back to tie the game in the second half. Umoja Gibson had a career high 29 points for the Sooners as he sunk eight 3-pointers.
Jared Butler scored 21 points as Baylor withstood hot-shooting Iowa State for a 76-65 victory in Waco on Saturday. The Cyclones led 55-53 with 10:10 remaining, but the Bears went on a 13-0 run over the next four and a half minutes to take a 66-55 lead and hand Iowa State it’s third Big 12 defeat. Davion Mitchell and MaCio Teague had 13 apiece as the Bears made 20-of-29 free throws to go to 9-0.
This is a solid offensive team as the Sooners average 81.8 points per game while shooting 46.7 percent from the field. Austin Reaves (15.5 ppg, 5.0 rpg) and Brady Manek (13.6 ppg, 4.6 rpg) continue to lead Oklahoma in scoring, but point guard DeVion Harmon is the catalyst of the team as he not only facilitates efficiently – but he also leads OU with 13 steals. Kur Kuath (7.5 ppg, 4.9 rpg) continues to play solid from the pivot where he shoots 64.3 percent and Alondes Williams (7.3 ppg, 4.3 rpg) joins him with the athleticism to play at a swingman or even a a hybrid forward. Manek only averages 7.3 points and 3.3 boards in his last three games.
It will be interesting to see how much Lon Kruger’s group chooses to get up and down with the fast-paced Bears. Oklahoma has an average possession length of 16.7 seconds while Baylor is at 15.2 seconds. Harmon’s ability to control the tempo against Baylor’s Jared Butler will be important whether OU selects to control or push the tempo.
The Bears have eight players who fall into at least one category in the Big 12 leaders positions where Butler (16.0 ppg) is third in the Big 12 in scoring as he posts in four categories while Davion Mitchell leads the league at 6.7 assists per game and in steals at 2.7 per contest. Mitchell will likely draw the matchup on Harmon as he is a major disruptor with his size and physicality inside of coach Scott Drew’s defensive scheme.
In averaging 92.9 points per game (2nd in the nation), Baylor shoots 51.6 percent from the field and 43.8 percent from behind the arc. Five Bears have made between 13 and 21 triples as guard MaCio Teague (15.9 ppg, 4.4 rpg) flanks Butler as a perfect compliment on the perimeter. Of concern to Lon Kruger is his 3-point defense which allows 39.6 percent from the field. The Bears come off a 21.1 percent performance from three in their win over Iowa State.
Winner: Baylor 84 Oklahoma (+11) 74
Over-Under: Take OVER 151