Oklahoma Sooners vs. Iowa State Cyclones – NCAAM March 10

Big 12 Tournament, Round 1

(7) Oklahoma (14-9, 9-8) vs. (10) Iowa State (2-21, 0-18)

  • Time: 6:30PM PST | 8:30PM CST | 9:30PM EST
  • Location: T-Mobile Center, Kansas City, MO
  • TV: ESPN

Opening Tip

The Oklahoma Sooners have been ranked as high as No. 7 in the nation and now they come into Wednesday night’s opener in the Big 12 Tournament in having to play into Thursday’s quarterfinals.

The Sooners have lost four in a row which has taken them from a potential top three seed and has thrown them into a potential loss to Iowa State could put them squarely on the bubble until the conference tournaments play out.

Oklahoma won the two meetings this season – 79-72 in Norman on Feb. 6 and 66-56 in Ames on Feb. 20.

Iowa State’s season has been one of the biggest nightmares of the year with the 2-21 record where generally everything that could go wrong did go wrong. The Cyclones were last in the Big 12 in scoring defense at 76.6 points per game and ninth in scoring offense at 65.2 points.

The Cyclones’ last win was on Dec. 20 vs. Jackson State as they have now lost 17 in a row.

Oklahoma leads the overall series, 119-91, but Iowa State has won six of the last ten and four of the last five in Kansas City.

Vs. The Spread

Iowa State:

  • The Cyclones are 2-6-1 ATS over their past 9 games
  • Iowa State is 12-3 ATS in it’s last 15 games vs. the Sooners
  • The OVER has been the play in 4 of ISU’s last 6 games in March

Oklahoma:

  • The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Oklahoma’s last 20 games
  • The Sooners are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games and 0-5 ATS in their last 5
  • Oklahoma is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games played in March

Last Time Out

Iowa State dropped a 61-56 decision at Kansas State last season which sealed the Cyclones’ fate in going 0-18 in the Big 12. Jalen Coleman-Lands scored 19 points and Solomon Young added 18 as Iowa State made only 35.8 percent of it’s field goals.

Texas downed Oklahoma, 69-65, on Sunday in a rescheduled game from earlier in the season. Austin Reaves led the Sooners with 16 points while Alondes Williams and Brady Manek checked in with 13 points apiece. The Sooners shot just 37 percent from the floor in losing their fourth in a row.

Teams Spread Money Line Total Points
Iowa State +11.5 (-105) +520 O 141.5 (-110)
Oklahoma -11.5 (-115) -700 U 141.5 (-110)

Advantage, Iowa State

Iowa State Cyclones LogoWith the injury to Cyclones leading scorer Rasir Bolton (15.4 ppg), it piled on to what has been a behemoth of a season with no respite. Bolton is probable for tonight and he brings back the threat of a one-two punch with Jalen Coleman-Lands (14.3 ppg, 39.7%-3) that might foster the opportunity to upset the struggling Sooners. The Sooners’ has taken a dive in the last three games as those opponents have shot over 50 percent from the floor on average while Ou allows only 42 percent for the season.

Key Cyclones Stat:

The toughness of the Cyclones’ schedule and the rigors of the Big 12 would be tough in any season. Iowa State has played 23 games against AP Top 25 opponents. No team in ISU history has played a higher percentage of games against ranked teams. As for the NET rankings, 57 percent of the schedule has been against teams in the Top 30 of the NET.

X-Factor:

Iowa State must force the action and get the ball into the paint off the dribble. Oklahoma is 39th in the nation in defending the two-point shot as opponents only net 45.8 percent. Iowa State shoots 77.9 percent from the foul line which leads the Big 12, so forcing the issue on offense is in the Cyclones favor.

Advantage, Oklahoma

Oklahoma Sooners LogoGetting Big 12 first-teamer Austin Reaves off and running early can not only affect this game, but affect how far the Sooners might potentially go this weekend. Reaves (17.5 ppg, 5.7 rpg, 4.9 apg) is 16-of-44 from the floor in those last three games and needs a push to get his offensive game back together.

De’Vion Harmon feels more and more like the catalyst for coach Lon Kruger as he is second in scoring (13.0 ppg) and shoots 47.1 percent from the field. Transition and off the dribble in the half court will be good for both of these players as the Cyclones allow opponents to shoot 53 percent from two (283rd/NCAA).

Key Sooners Stat:

Oklahoma is a (+6) in scoring margin while Iowa State is a (-11.3). The 17.3 point difference can be picked up on the defensive end of the floor where OU is 50th nationally in adjusted defensive efficiency. The Sooners force 13.3 turnovers per game and Iowa State coughs it up 15.1 times with a (-2.7) turnover margin.

X-Factor:

Umoja Gibson had a tough day with only three points against Texas on Sunday. He has to be a factor for Oklahoma to be able to advance. In the three games Oklahoma won before the four-game slide, Gibson was 17-of-35 from the floor and averaged 15.7 points in those three. He is 12-of-36 in his last four and have averaged only 9.3 points per game.

Winner: Oklahoma 70, Iowa State (+11.5) 60

The Bets
Iowa State Cyclones +11.5
-105
Oklahoma Sooners
-700
UNDER 141.5
-110
Sub Categories:
Kenneth Cross / Author

Kenneth Cross is a new entry to The Sports Geek staff as he has 25 years of experience in print, broadcast, and internet sports journalism. Cross is a lover of all sports, but college basketball is his passion. He estimates that he has seen around 1,500 college basketball games - live and in-person - and hopes that grows this season. If you listen to Radio, you have likely heard him on Sundays covering the Carolina Panthers for some 20 years. Now in Tampa Bay, he works as a national radio correspondent.