Ole Miss Rebels at Arkansas Razorbacks – NCAAM January 27

Ole Miss Rebels (8-6, 3-4) at Arkansas Razorbacks (12-4, 4-4)

Time:  5:30 PST – 7:30 CST – 8:30 EST
Place: Bud Walton Arena, Fayetteville, Ark.
TV: SEC Network

What’s at Stake:

Ole Miss and Arkansas are tied in the loss column with four each which leaves them one game off the five-team log jam of 3-loss teams for second place in the SEC. Arkansas leads the overall series, 49-33, as Ole Miss is the Razorbacks’ second most common opponent. The series is dead even at 27-27 since Arkansas joined the SEC and Arkansas has won six out of the last seven in the series.

Vs. The Spread:

Ole Miss:

  • Kermit Davis’ squad is checking in with stellar defense and the UNDER has been the play in 12 of the Rebels’ 14 games this season.
  • Ole Miss is 12-5 ATS in it’s last 17 matchups with Arkansas.
  • However, the total has gone UNDER in the Rebs’ last 7 roadies

Arkansas:

  • On the opposite end, coach Eric Musselman continues to stoke the fire in the Arkansas offense as the Razorbacks are OVER in 8 of the last 11 contests.
  • The OVER has been the play in 5 of the last 6 Rebels-Razorbacks games in Fayetteville.
  • Arkansas is all about the OVER in 16 of their last 20 contests vs. SEC competition.

Last Time Out:

Jarkel Joiner scored 21 points and Devontae Shuler popped in 17 as the Ole Miss Rebels downed Texas A&M, 61-50 at The Pavilion at Ole Miss on Saturday. Shuler hit a three with 13:51 remaining  to cap a 20-2 run as Ole Miss went up 43-33 and controlled the game for the rest of the way. The Rebels held the Aggies to 39.2 percent from the field and Texas A&M made only 5-of-21 triples.

Moses Moody scored 26 points and Jalen Tate had 25 as Arkansas ran past Vanderbilt, 92-71, on Saturday in Nashville. The Razorbacks shot 57.1 percent from the field and made 8-of-19 triples.

Teams Spread Money Line Total Points
Mississippi +4½ (-110) +170 O 142 (-125)
Arkansas -4½ (-110) -195 U 142 (+105)

Rebels Stats Pack:

  • Jarkel Joiner has picked his scoring up as he made 20-of-40 field goals over the last three games with 4.7 rebounds per game while averaging around 35 minutes per outing.
  • Devontae Shuler joins Joiner in a high output over the last three as he shot 49 percent from the field and made 10-of-21 threes.
  • The Rebels’ defense hit an even higher level in the last two games as they held Mississippi State and Texas A&M to averages of 48 points per game, 36.9 percent from the field and the two teams made only 9-of-35 triples combined.

For the Rebels to Win:

Ole Miss Rebels LogoAccentuating Davis’s defensive game plan and keeping the revved up Razorbacks in the half court is the biggest key for Ole Miss. The Rebs are 16th in the nation in adjusted defensive efficiency, per kenpom, and their opponents only average 61.6 points (2nd/SEC) and shoot at a 40.5 percent clip (5th/SEC) on the season. The Razorbacks are 1-4 in the last five games when they scored 76 points or less. Offensively, Devontae Shuler (14.9 ppg, 4.1 apg) has ran the squad impeccably well from the point guard position as Ole Miss is finding different players to contribute in different ways every night. Romello White (10.4 ppg, 5.4 rpg) and KJ Buffen (9.4 ppg, 4.6 rpg) have been solid on the interior with in shooting 67.9 and 54.1 percent from the field respectively.

Razorbacks Stats Pack:

  • Moses Moody has averaged 19 ppg. Over his last three games; however it showed the ups and downs of a season as he posted 28 vs. Alabama, 4 against Auburn and 26 Saturday at Vanderbilt.
  • The Razorbacks have had double digits in offensive rebounds in 14 of 16 games this season and they average 13.3 per night (17th/NCAA).
  • The Hogs share the sugar and coach Eric Musselman has them looking to make the extra pass to convert as Arkansas is now second in the SEC at 15.4 assists per game.

For the Razorbacks to Win:

Arkansas Razorbacks LogoArkansas is going to try to coax Ole Miss into a running game and then the Razorbacks are going to try to use their athleticism and the length of 7-3 Connor Vanover (25 blocks) to go up against the physicality of White and Buffen in the paint. The key here is that the Rebels struggle on the perimeter at hitting the three as they make only 29.6 percent of their attempts. Five Razorbacks average double figures, led by Moses Moody’s 17.3 points per night. Moody and JD Notae lead the team with 29 triples each as Arkansas has attempted 408 in 16 games. Jalen Tate is currently third in the SEC at 4.7 dimes per outing his matchup with Shuler garners interest.

Winner: Arkansas (-4½) 77, Ole Miss 70
O/U: Take OVER 142

The Bets
Arkansas -4½
-110
OVER 142
-125
Sub Categories:
Kenneth Cross / Author

Kenneth Cross is a new entry to The Sports Geek staff as he has 25 years of experience in print, broadcast, and internet sports journalism. Cross is a lover of all sports, but college basketball is his passion. He estimates that he has seen around 1,500 college basketball games - live and in-person - and hopes that grows this season. If you listen to Radio, you have likely heard him on Sundays covering the Carolina Panthers for some 20 years. Now in Tampa Bay, he works as a national radio correspondent.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.