Ole Miss Rebels vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs Pick – NCAAM January 19, 2021

There is plenty of ranked action on the college basketball schedule on Tuesday. Seven ranked teams are on the docket, with Villanova finally scheduled to get back out on the court. The Wildcats most recently played on December 23, a 85-68 win over Marquette. Since then, Covid-19 has not cooperated for Villanova.

The Wildcats are hoping that the rest of the season is postponement free, but that’s asking a lot over the next few months. Elsewhere in the NCAA, No. 6 Tennessee and No. 7 Michigan are both scheduled to play on Tuesday. The Wolverines are looking to bounce back after suffering their first loss of the season. They didn’t show up to play at Minnesota and were awarded a 75-57 loss for their poor effort.

There is a rivalry game slated to take place on Tuesday night in Starkville, Mississippi. It isn’t the Egg Bowl, but Mississippi and Mississippi State basketball are expected to meet at the Humphrey Coliseum. Ole Miss are looking to get above the .500 mark at The Hump after falling to 6-6 with a loss against the Georgia Bulldogs on Saturday. That’s a game Ole Miss has to win in their own backyard.

The Rebels are on a three-game losing streak, which dates back to a 75-61 loss at home against the LSU Tigers on January 9. Their last win was at home against the Auburn Tigers, 72-63, on January 6. They’ve played one ranked team, which resulted in a 82-64 non-competitive matchup against the Alabama Crimson Tide. They have two more games against teams that are currently ranked, Tennessee and Missouri.

Mississippi State enters Tuesday with a cumulative record of 9-5. They’re fresh off a 72-69 win at home against the Florida Gators on Saturday. The Bulldogs have won three of their previous four outings, including a win over ranked Missouri, 78-63, at home on January 5. Tolu Smith is coming off a big performance, as he led the Bulldogs with 27 points against the Gators. The sophomore can be a mismatch on the blocks for opposing defenses. Head below for our free Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State pick on January 19, 2021.

Ole Miss Rebels vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs NCAA Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • Ole Miss +2.5 (-105)
  • Mississippi St. -2.5 (-115)
Moneyline:

  • Ole Miss OFF
  • Mississippi St. OFF
Total:

  • Over 132 (-115)
  • Under 132 (-105)

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Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State Prediction:

Ole Miss enters at 6-6 and just 1-3 on the road. In their lone road victory, the Rebels defeated a bad Middle Tennessee team on December 16, 70-51. Otherwise, Ole Miss has struggled mightily as a visitor. They have losses against Dayton, 65-52, Alabama, 82-64, and Auburn, 72-61. Note that Ole Miss has scored an average of 71.8 points for 189th in the NCAA. Defensively the Rebels have conceded 63.9 points per game for 47th, which is more than respectable.

However, they haven’t been competitive on the road, with 64.8 points per game and 67.5 points against. In the one win to juice their numbers up, they took advantage of a poor Middle Tennessee team. In their last dance on the floor against the Bulldogs, the Rebels were bad on both fronts in a 69-44 loss on March 7 before the season was closed down. Mississippi State has beaten Ole Miss in two of their previous three meetings. This is going to be another tough assignment for the Rebels tonight.

The Bulldogs head into Tuesday 7-2 at home in 2020-21. The strength of Ole Miss is their defense, but Mississippi State has the ability to match the defensive energy. The Bulldogs are 84th in the NCAA with 66.3 points conceded per game. It’s unlikely that Ole Miss will be able to set their offense up on the road and be effective. At The Hump, Mississippi State has been better in that regard, with just 61.3 points against per contest. I’m on Mississippi State as a small home favorite. I think this line should be closer to 4.5 or 5, thus some value at the current 2.5.

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MISSISSIPPI ST. BULLDOGS -2.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.