Oregon Ducks at Arizona State Sun Devils – NCAAM February 11

9:00 p.m. ET – Oregon at Arizona State (-1.5) O/U: 140

Teams Spread Money Line Total Points
Oregon +1½ (-115) +100 O 151 (-105)
Arizona State -1½ (-105) -120 U 151 (-115)

The 10-4 Ducks travel to Tempe, Arizona on Thursday night to take on the 6-8 Sun Devils. Oregon defeated Washington 86-74 at home last Saturday. Arizona State was last in action on Jan. 30, beating Stanford 79-75 to win its second game in a row. The Sun Devils had lofty preseason expectations, even starting the season inside the Associated Press Top 25 poll. A 4-8 start to the season was largely due to Arizona State having one of the worst defenses in all of Division I basketball. The Sun Devils give up an average of 76.9 points per game, which ranks 301st in the nation..

Oregon Ducks LogoThe Ducks are led by guard Chris Duarte’s team-high average of 17.8 points per game, which ranks fourth in the Pac-12. But Duarte is going to be a game-time decision with a right ankle injury. Coach Dana Altman said that Duarte participated fully in shootaround on Wednesday, so that’s a good sign that he is likely to play.

The Sun Devils are led by the conference’s third leading scorer, Remy Martin, at 18 points per game. Martin has been a huge reason for Arizona State’s recent competitive play, averaging 22 points over his last three games.

Please Note:
The Arizona State program has endured two COVID-19 pauses this season. Following the first one the Sun Devils lost five games in a row, going 1-4 against the spread in those contests. The line opened with Oregon as a short favorite and flipped due to the possibility of Oregon being without its leading scorer. The fact of the matter is this game will be decided by what Arizona State is doing on the floor and less of what and who is on the floor for Oregon.

The Sun Devils own one of the worst records against the spread in the country at 3-11. Oddsmakers have had difficulty figuring a team that is historically bad on the defensive end of the floor, yet so efficient at the offensive end. This is one of the worst teams Oregon has had in the past five years, but Arizona State is far too unpredictable to bet on this season. Oregon is the right side to bet on in this matchup, especially with the Ducks getting 1.5 points.

The Pick: Oregon +1.5

The Bets
Oregon +1½
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Joe Menzer / Author

Joe is an award-winning writer and editor who has covered the NBA, NFL, NASCAR, golf, various collegiate athletics and other sports for newspapers, Turner Sports, Fox Sports and ESPN. He has been on the beat for seven Super Bowls, six Daytona 500s and numerous NBA playoff series and All-Star Games. He once was dispatched to Rome, Italy to spend time with an NBA draft choice who opted to play overseas, after which he produced an award-winning series of stories. He also is passionate about fantasy sports and breaking down games in ways that even novice gamblers can use to make their most intelligent wagering decisions.