Oregon State Beavers at Colorado Buffaloes – NCAAM February 8

Oregon State (10-7, 6-5) at Colorado (14-5, 8-4)

  • Time: 4PM PST | 6PM CST | 7PM EST
  • Location: Coors Events Center, Bouler, CO
  • TV: Pac-12 Network

Opening Tip

It’s a huge week for the Beavers as they open three games in six days by venturing to Colorado on Monday evening. Oregon State just swept Washington and Washington State to move firmly into the middle of the Pac-12 standings.

Colorado has won three out of it’s last four and hosts the Beavers before four road games over the next two weeks. The Buffaloes have a 16-9 advantage in the series over the Beavers as their 8-4 start is the best start over 12 games in their nine years in the Pac-12.

Ethan Thompson (16.0 ppg) is Oregon State’s leading scorer and is eighth in the Pac-12 while recording 4.1 assists which is good for fifth. Buffaloes guard McKinley Wright (14.9 ppg) is Colorado’s scoring leader, good for 11th. Warith Alatishe is second in rebounding in the league at 8.3 boards per game for the Beavers.

Vs. The Spread

Oregon State:

  • The Beavers are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 outings
  • The OVER has been the play in 8 of Oregon State’s last 10 games
  • OSU is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. Colorado

Colorado:

  • The Buffaloes check in at 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games
  • The Buffs have enjoyed the OVER in 5 of their last 7 games
  • CU is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games when playing at home vs. the Beavers

Last Time Out

Ethan Thompson came alive with 12 points in the final 8:37 as Oregon State rallied for a 68-66 win over Washington State in Corvallis on Saturday. The key for the Beavers was cutting out turnovers as they had 12 in the first half which resulted in 16 Cougars points. OSU was nearly flawless in the final 20 minutes with only two miscues.

Colorado posted an 82-79 win over Arizona on Saturday as the Buffaloes’ Evan Battey scored four of his game-high 21 points in the final 15 seconds to secure the win. McKinley Wright, IV, finished with 17 points and six assists.

Teams Spread Money Line Total Points
Oregon State +12.5 (-105) +615 O 138 (-115)
Colorado -12.5 (-115) -850 U 138 (-105)

Advantage, Oregon State

Coach Wayne Tinkle’s team will look to control the tempo, but will also look for the three-pointers on the perimeter which is how they have been able to get the most out of their offense in manufacturing 36.4 percent from the field. Jared Lucas leads by making 43.2 percent – 41-of-95 – as three other Beavers have at least 20 on the season. Lucas also leads the league in free throw percentage at 92.2 (59-of-64). The Buffs’ opponents have made 37.1 percent in league play, so this matchup plays solidly into Oregon State’s hands.

Key Beavers Stat:

Oregon State’s two-foul participation is 2.7 percent, per kenpom.com, which shows Tinkle’s philosophy of developing his bench and substituting when a Beaver picks up two fouls in the first half. That type of depth will be needed Monday afternoon against an older Buffaloes’ team as coach Tad Boyle trusts veterans such as McKinley Wright, IV, Evan Battey, and Jeriah Horne when they pick up two fouls in that first 20 minutes.

X-Factor:

Oregon State has had trouble scoring in the mid-range or even in the paint. The Beavers need a sustained presence from their athletic power forward Warith Alatishe (8.9 ppg, 47.1% -2), who is a terror on the glass, but needs more or a scoring presence inside against Battey. Alatishe and the Beavers shot 47.9 percent from the field in their last two games, but will see a more aggressive defense from Colorado on Monday afternoon.

Advantage, Colorado

The Buffaloes are 10th in the nation in offensive efficiency as they can burn any opponent through any phase of the offense. Wright is the proverbial straw that stirs the drink as he can score in all three phases while getting to the line where he makes 83.8 percent of his charity tosses. Battey is imposing physically as he can post his 6-8, 262-pound frame up and push his opponents into foul trouble.

Key Buffaloes’ Stat:

Speaking of the foul line, Colorado leads the nation in free throw percentage by making 83.7 free throws per game. Seven Buffaloes make at least 82 percent of their free throws on the season as Horne has netted 27-of-29.

X-Factor:

Jeriah Horne has had an impactful season on the Buffs’ perimeter where he average 11.1 points where 33 of his 75 made shots on the season are triples. In his last five games, the transfer from Tulsa is averaging 13.8 points and 4.4 rebounds per game.

Winner: Colorado (-12.5) 74, Oregon State 59
Over-Under: Take UNDER 138

The Bets
Colorado Buffaloes -12.5
-115
UNDER 138
-105
Sub Categories:
Kenneth Cross / Author

Kenneth Cross is a new entry to The Sports Geek staff as he has 25 years of experience in print, broadcast, and internet sports journalism. Cross is a lover of all sports, but college basketball is his passion. He estimates that he has seen around 1,500 college basketball games - live and in-person - and hopes that grows this season. If you listen to Radio, you have likely heard him on Sundays covering the Carolina Panthers for some 20 years. Now in Tampa Bay, he works as a national radio correspondent.

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