Oregon State Beavers vs. Colorado Buffaloes – NCAAM March 13

Pac-12 -“Conference of Champions” Tournament Final

(3) Colorado vs. (5) Oregon State

  • Time: 7:30 PST – 9:30 CST – 10:30 EST
  • Place: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nev.
  • TV: ESPN

Opening Tip:

Throwing out the “Conference of Champions” monicker to honor the great Bill Walton and his aptly applied nickname for the Pac-12 which has more national champions in all sports than any other conference.

Colorado has reeled off six wins in a row and three-point and two- point wins over Cal and USC to get to the Pac-12 Championship game. Oregon State is the Cinderellas as Wayne Tinkle has done an outstanding job bringing this young team together and getting it connected so that it could make this type of run.

The Beavers are the first team ever picked last in the Pac-12 preseason poll to make the Pac-12 championship game. It’s the Beavers’ first visit to the Pac-12 title game since 1988, but they are 0-3 against the Buffs in Pac-12 Tournament play.

Colorado leads the all-time series 18-9 and the Biffs sept the season series with a 78-49 win in Boulder and a 61-57 win in Corvalis.

Truthfully, if the Beavers do lose, throw out the numbers, use they eyes test and include this team in next week’s NCAA Tournament

Vs. The Spread:

Oregon State:

  • The Beavers are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games
  • The total has got over in the last five Oregon State games
  • The Beavers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games

Colorado:

  • The Buffaloes are 4-1 ATS in their last 10 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 8 of CU’s last 10 games
  • The Buffs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in March

Last Time Out

Oregon State proved how far it has come this season when the Beavers took down the No. 1 seed Oregon Ducks, 75-64. Senior Ethan Thompson scored 16 points and Rodrique Andela added 13 to pace the Beavers, who led wire-to-wire but had to hold off a late Ducks’ rally for the win.

D’Shawn Schwartz had a one-hand jam off a rebound with 3.3 seconds remaining to allow Colorado to stave off USC, 72-70. Colorado made 12-of-24 threes and lost McKinley Wright, IV, early in the game with an ankle injury. He came back and led CU with 24 points.

Teams Spread Money Line Total Points
Oregon State +9 (-113) +345 O 131½ (-115)
Colorado -9 (-107) -425 U 131½ (-105)

Advantage, Oregon State:

Oregon State Beavers Logo 101x101
The Beavers are on a solid run led by a senior in Ethan Thompson, who had five triples in the win over Oregon. He is a leader as he and Zach Reichle, who possesses a (+2.18) assist-to-turnover ratio, have been able to establish themselves in those roles and Warith Alatishe has been a beast in the paint in scoring double figures in eight of his last 10 and double-doubles in three of his last four. Center Rodrigue Andela is averaging 10.5 points and 9.5 rebounds in these wins over UCLA and Oregon after averaging 4.0 points and 4.2 boards during the regular season.

Key Beavers Stat:

Oregon State’s shooters will be front row and center against the stingy Buffaloes defense. In addition to Thompson outside and Alitishe on the interior, Roman Silva has had a direct impact on the beavers offense as he has shot 65.6 percent from the floor while Gianni Hunt shot a team best 40.4 percent in Pac-12 play. Role players need to step up against the scoring prowess of Wright and Jeriah Horne, Colorado’s second leading scorer.

X-Factor:

Oregon State is 20-for-44 behind the arc and 38-for-50 in the wins over UCLA and Oregon. The key is having a consistent inside-outside game which should allow the Beavers to get to the line regularly.

Advantage, Colorado:

Colorado Buffaloes LogoMcKinley Wright gives the Buffaloes a huge advantage in all aspects of the game. He has scored 20 or more points in four of the last six games. Jeriah Horne plays well off of Wright as he had struggled from distance in making 4-of-6 after making 2-of-10 over the three games before last night. The Beavers are tough vs. the three-point shot, so Colorado may be looking inside to Evan Battey to set the tone early.

Key Buffaloes Stat:

Colorado held a 37-29 advantage on the boards on USC with Evan Mobley and his brother Isaiah at the forefront of the attack on the boards. Alatishe’s athleticism is also in the mix.

X-Factor:

Jarod Lucas led OSU with by making 39.9 percent of his threes on the season. He Gianni Hunt and Maurice Calloo will get challenged from Colorado’s 3-point defense as the Buffs’ defend at a 32.5 percent clip. Cal and USC made seven threes each in the two Pac-12 Tournament games. Those were the most since Cal made seven back on Feb. 13.

WINNER: Colorado 70, Oregon State (+9) 66

The Bets
Oregon State +9
-113
Colorado
-425
OVER 131½
-115
Sub Categories:
Kenneth Cross / Author

Kenneth Cross is a new entry to The Sports Geek staff as he has 25 years of experience in print, broadcast, and internet sports journalism. Cross is a lover of all sports, but college basketball is his passion. He estimates that he has seen around 1,500 college basketball games - live and in-person - and hopes that grows this season. If you listen to Radio, you have likely heard him on Sundays covering the Carolina Panthers for some 20 years. Now in Tampa Bay, he works as a national radio correspondent.