Saint Louis Billikens at Dayton Flyers – NCAAM February 19

7:00 p.m. ET – Saint Louis (-5½) at Dayton O/U:136

Teams Spread Money Line Total Points
Saint Louis -5½ (-110) -235 O 136 (-105)
Dayton +5½ (-110) +190 U 136 (-115)

The 11-3 Billikens travel to Dayton, Ohio to take on the 11-7 Flyers on Friday night. Saint Louis has won four straight since losing its first two games back from a 34-day COVID-19 induced break. The Billikens defeated La Salle on Tuesday, 78-57, in large part due to shooting over 52 percent from the field. Dayton suffered a heartbreaking defeat to Rhode Island in overtime on Tuesday. The Flyers had an 18-point lead with under 10 minutes remaining, but were unable to close the game out. These two teams met on Jan. 26, when the Flyers defeated the Billikens 76-71. There were clear signs of rust in the previous matchup, where the Billikens shot 23 percent from three point range.

Saint Louis Billikens LogoSaint Louis guard Javonte Perkins leads the team in scoring with 17.9 points per game. Perkins had 20 points in the first matchup on 8-of-18 shooting from the field. Dayton is led by guard Jalen Crutcher averaging 18.9 points and 4.8 assists per game. Crutcher had 27 pts in the previous matchup on 8-of-14 shooting from the field to lead the Flyers to the upset.

Please Note:
After losing their first two games following the 34-day break caused by COVID, the Billikens have since rebounded with four consecutive wins by an average margin of 16.8 points. Saint Louis collects 35.2 percent of its missed shots, good enough for 19th in Division I basketball. The Billikens’ ability to clean the glass usually is one of the keys to their victories.

Dayton Flyers LogoDayton took advantage of the Billikens’ rust in the first meeting between these two and erupted with a 40-point second-half outburst that triggered the update. It was obvious the Billikens found their groove eventually and simply ran out of time to complete the comeback. Saint Louis has returned to its pre-break form that gained the program entry into the Associated Press Top 25 poll earlier this season.

Expect the Billikens to come out firing on all cylinders, knowing they cannot afford many more losses on their NCAA tournament resume. Back Saint Louis to cover the short spread at home.
The Bets
Saint Louis -5½
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Joe Menzer / Author

Joe is an award-winning writer and editor who has covered the NBA, NFL, NASCAR, golf, various collegiate athletics and other sports for newspapers, Turner Sports, Fox Sports and ESPN. He has been on the beat for seven Super Bowls, six Daytona 500s and numerous NBA playoff series and All-Star Games. He once was dispatched to Rome, Italy to spend time with an NBA draft choice who opted to play overseas, after which he produced an award-winning series of stories. He also is passionate about fantasy sports and breaking down games in ways that even novice gamblers can use to make their most intelligent wagering decisions.

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