San Diego State Aztecs at Air Force Falcons – NCAAM January 22

San Diego State (9-4, 3-3) at Air Force (4-8, 2-6)

  • Time: 6PM PST | 8PM CST | 9PM EST
  • Location: Clune Arena, Colorado Springs, CO
  • TV: FS1

What’s at Stake

The Aztecs could be in must-win mode all weekend in Colorado Springs as they have to stay instep with Utah State, Colorado State and Mountain West leading Boise State if they are to keep focus on a legitimate shot to win a tough and deep MWC.

This is the most-played series in San Diego State history as the Aztecs command a 59-24 advantage while having generally a stiff challenge in Clune Arena with a 21-17 margin.

Vs. The Spread

San Diego State:

  • The Aztecs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games
  • SDSU is 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games vs. Air Force
  • The Aztecs are 12-2 SU in their last 14 road games

Air Force:

  • The total has gone OVER in 7 of the Falcons last 9 games
  • AFA is 2-9 ATS in their last 11 home games
  • The total is UNDER in 10 of AFA’s last 15 homes games vs. San Diego State

Last Time Out

San Diego State held Utah State to a season-low 22 points and led the Aggies by 10 at halftime before dropping a 64-59 decision to the Aggies last Saturday. Utah State evened the game at 34-34 almost immediately to start the second half as the Aztecs lost the second game of the back-to-back when they dropped a 57-45 decision to USU two nights before. Terrell Gomez led the Aztecs with 16 points while Lamont Butler tallied 13.

Wyoming made a season-high 16 triples in dropping the Falcons, 77-58, in Colorado Springs. Nick Jackson led the AFA with 19 points while A.J. Walker scored 13. Air Force took the first game of the two-game set, 72-69.

Teams Spread Money Line Total Points
San Diego State -13.5 (-110) -1100 O 123.5 (-110)
Air Force +13.5 (-110) +700 U 123.5 (-110)

For the Aztecs To Win

Coach Brian Dutcher’s squad will look to attack an Air Force defense that allows opponents to shoot 47.6 percent from the floor where they also hoot 36.1 percent from three, both are last in the MW. Guards Jordan Shackel (41.5% -3) and Terrell Gomez (43.3% – 3) are the major three-point threats while Matt Mitchell (15.3 ppg, 4.9 rpg) is a physical presence in attacking the paint. Nathan Mensah (10.2 ppg, 7.3 rpg) shoots 59.3 percent as he is also SDSU’s leading rebounder.

Warpath Wisps:

Nathan Mensah has become a stolid contributor in the post as he is 13-of-25 form the floor in averaging 10.3 ppg in his last three games whole collecting a combined 20 rebounds. He is No. 2in the MWS is blocked shots with 1.92 per game.

For the Falcons To Win

A tough year for Air Force, amid the COVID-19 pandemic as the Falcons have had a tough time scoring the ball, but an even tougher time with ball security (15.1 TOs/gm) and competing on the offensive glass (4.0 OR/game). A.J. Walker is their best offensive threat as he averages 13.9 points per game while shooting 49.2 percent from the field and 39.1 percent from three. Defensively, the Aztecs hold their opponents to 39.3 percent as Mensah’s rim protection and Mitchell’s physicality cause all sorts of problems on the perimeter as they have averaged 15 point off turnovers in their last three contests.

High in Flight:

Chris Joyce has joined Walker with a productive season so far in averaging 12.3 ppg while shooting 45 percent from the floor. He joins Walker with a team-leading 18 three point shots.

Winner: San Diego State 70, Air Force (+13.5) 59
Over-Under: Take OVER 123.5

The Bets
Air Force Falcons +13.5
OVER 123.5
Sub Categories:
Kenneth Cross / Author

Kenneth Cross is a new entry to The Sports Geek staff as he has 25 years of experience in print, broadcast, and internet sports journalism. Cross is a lover of all sports, but college basketball is his passion. He estimates that he has seen around 1,500 college basketball games - live and in-person - and hopes that grows this season. If you listen to Radio, you have likely heard him on Sundays covering the Carolina Panthers for some 20 years. Now in Tampa Bay, he works as a national radio correspondent.

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