San Francisco Dons vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs Pick – NCAAB March 7, 2022

The San Francisco Dons and Gonzaga Bulldogs meet in the second round of the West Coast Conference Tournament on Monday night. San Francisco is looking to pull off the upset after Gonzaga finished the regular season loss as a double-digit favorite to Saint Mary’s.

In one of their biggest threats to another West Coast Championship, the Gaels let the Bulldogs know that they’re not going to be intimidated.

How much stock did Gonzaga put into this matchup, though? It seems to me that the Bulldogs probably didn’t care much.

Keep in mind that Gonzaga already had the West Coast Conference in the bag. They didn’t have to do anything. Gonzaga didn’t have to do anything for a long time.

Despite the 67-57 loss to Saint Mary’s, Gonzaga is the best in the conference by a mile. Getting a loss out of the way might have been for the better.

The Bulldogs can start a new winning streak now, which may take them all the way back to the NCAA Championship. They will have to get past a pesky San Franciso team on Monday night.

The Dons may not go away quietly in this one, but they must deal with a Gonzaga team coming off a loss.

Gonzaga finished the regular season with a record of 24-8 and 10-6 in the conference for the fourth-best team in the West Coast. San Francisco rolls into the WCC Tournament, coming off a 75-63 over the BYU Cougars.

After that win, the Dons already have a conference tournament game under their belts. Gonzaga had a bye, so there was some time for them to lick their wounds after the loss.

Head below for our free San Francisco vs. Gonzaga prediction on March 7, 2022.

San Francisco Dons vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs Betting Odds and Team Statistics:

The following odds are courtesy of BetOnline:

Teams Spread Moneyline Total
San Francisco Dons +14 (-111) +725 Over 154 (-115)
Gonzaga Bulldogs -14 (-109) -1150 Under 154 (-105)
Team Data San Francisco Dons Gonzaga Bulldogs
Overall Record 24-8 24-30
ATS Record 12-18-1 14-11-2
Away/Home Record 7-2 16-0
ATS Away/Home 5-3-1 7-7-2
Points Per Game 77.3 88.3
Points Against Per Game 66.7 65.0
Field Goal % 46.0 52.4
Three Point % 35.5 37.8

San Francisco vs. Gonzaga Prediction:

Gonzaga had their worst offensive performance of the year in the regular season finale. They scored just 57 points in a shocker. That was the most surprising aspect of that game.

Losing the way they did was pretty surprising. Even the best teams will suffer an upset, but for Gonzaga to only score 57 points that came out of the left field.

That was not typical Gonzaga basketball for a team that has been putting the steam presser on opponents. The Bulldogs are the best team in the NCAA offensively, with 88.3 points per game.

There isn’t another team in college that scores as many points as the Bulldogs do on average. The Bulldogs are also shooting at a high clip, with a field goal percentage of 52.4%.

The combo of Drew Timme and Chet Holmgren can be tough to slow down for any team. Saint Mary’s did it, but I can’t see them being ineffective for two straight games, especially now that it’s conference tournament time.

Timme and Holmgren are going to come out firing in this one after scoring just 6 points each against Saint Mary’s. Expect big things from these two versus San Francisco.

San Francisco Dons vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs Betting Trends:

San Francisco
  • 1-5 ATS in their previous six games on a neutral court
  • 2-7-1 ATS in their previous ten games as an underdog
  • OVER is 4-1 in their previous five games
  • OVER is 16-5 in their previous 21 games as an underdog
  • OVER is 14-5 in their previous 19 games versus a team with a winning record
  • 13-6 ATS in their previous 19 games as a betting favorite
  • 10-4 ATS in their previous 14 games after a loss
  • 4-1 ATS in their previous five games after failing to cover the spread
  • OVER is 14-5 in thier previous 19 games versus San Francisco
  • OVER is 8-3 in their previous 11 games versus a team with a winning record

Gonzaga uses their precision shooting and ability to score second-chance points to succeed offensively. Not only can they shoot, but the Zags are dangerous on the boards. They’re the second-best team in the NCAA in offensive rebounding.

They didn’t look good in losses against Duke and Alabama, with more than 80 points surrendered in both outings. The only concern with Gonzaga in the NCAA Tournament for me is the defense.

Against San Francisco, they aren’t going to get torched, but the Dons should still be able to score. The Dons are 39th in the country, with an average of 77.3 points scored per game. They scored 73 points in an 89-73 loss to Gonzaga on February 14.

This game could call for a backdoor cover. I’m not going to touch the side in this one. However, the total looks like an option between San Francisco and Gonzaga at the Orleans in Las Vegas.


San Francisco vs. Gonzaga Pick
OVER 154
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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