SMU Mustangs at East Carolina Pirates – NCAAM February 8

5:00 p.m. ET – SMU (-6) at East Carolina O/U:138.5

Teams Spread Money Line Total Points
SMU -6 (-112) -260 O 138½ (-105)
East Carolina +6 (-108) +220 U 138½ (-115)

The 10-4 Mustangs travel to Greenville, North Carolina to take on the 8-7 Pirates on Monday night. SMU was last in action on Wednesday, beating Tulsa 65-63. East Carolina lost to Memphis in a hard-fought game on Saturday, 66-59. While the Pirates have lost six of their last seven, they picked up arguably the biggest win in program history last Wednesday with an 82-73 win over Houston, then ranked No. 5 in the nation. ECU also showed vast improvement on Saturday, playing Memphis close after losing two weeks prior to the same team at home by a score of 80-53. SMU hosted the Pirates to open conference play back on Dec. 16, when the Mustangs prevailed 70-55.

SMU Mustang Logo 101x101SMU is led by guard Kendric Davis who averages 17.1 points per game. Davis also leads the conference with 7.6 assists per game. He totaled 17 points and six assists in the first matchup against the Pirates. East Carolina is led by one of the more underrated players in the entire country in forward Jayden Gardner. He ranks second in the conference in both scoring and rebounding, averaging 17.7 points and 8.6 rebounds per game, respectively. The Mustangs are 0-4 against the spread in their last four games, and the Under has hit in their past three games.

ECU Pirates LogoThe Pirates scored 82 last Wednesday in their massive upset win of Houston, but it appears that anomaly from the Pirates has influenced this Over/Under total too much. ECU shot 47 percent from the field in that game, and 45 percent from 3-point range. On the season, the Pirates have shot on average 42.5 percent from the field and only 31.9 percent on 3-point attempts. Expect the Pirates to return to the mean on Monday night. These two teams combined for 125 points in the first matchup, leaving tons of value on the Under in this game. If East Carolina has any shot to win, they need to keep it a low-scoring affair. And also, as we saw in the previous matchup between these teams, a blowout win for the Mustangs is likely crawl Under as well.

The Bets
Under 138½
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Joe Menzer / Author

Joe is an award-winning writer and editor who has covered the NBA, NFL, NASCAR, golf, various collegiate athletics and other sports for newspapers, Turner Sports, Fox Sports and ESPN. He has been on the beat for seven Super Bowls, six Daytona 500s and numerous NBA playoff series and All-Star Games. He once was dispatched to Rome, Italy to spend time with an NBA draft choice who opted to play overseas, after which he produced an award-winning series of stories. He also is passionate about fantasy sports and breaking down games in ways that even novice gamblers can use to make their most intelligent wagering decisions.

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