Southeast Missouri State Redhawks vs. Murray State Racers Pick – NCAAB March 4, 2022

The Southeast Missouri State Redhawks and Murray State Racers meet in the Ohio Valley Tournament on Friday night. Southeast Missouri State is looking for the upset over a good Murray State team after opening the conference tournament with a 79-55 win over Tennessee State as a 3-point favorite.

The Racers won the Ohio Valley regular season title with a record of 28-2 and perfect in the conference at 18-0. Murray State is on an 18-game winning streak, with their most recent loss against the Auburn Tigers on December 22.

Auburn went to Murray State and beat the Racers by a score of 71-58. In their other loss, Murray State was upset early in the season by East Tennessee State on November 22, 66-58. Other than those two spots, Murray State hasn’t lost another game.

The experience against the Tigers could be a good thing for the future, though. That was their toughest opponent and that kind of experience could be helpful. They’re going to run into a power conference team in the NCAA Tournament.

Murray State is coming off a 70-68 win over Southeast Missouri State on Saturday. They’re coming off a break following a close call against this same Southeast Missouri State team.

Southeast Missouri State came close in that one at home. They bounced back in fine form with a 79-55 win in the first-round of the Ohio Valley Tournament. The Racers had a bye week and have been waiting for this one. We’ll see if the layoff helps them any.

Head below for our free Southeast Missouri State vs. Murray State prediction on March 4, 2022.

Southeast Missouri State vs. Murray State Racers Betting Odds and Team Statistics:

The following odds are courtesy of BetOnline:

Teams Spread Moneyline Total
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks +14.5 (-110) +875 Over 149 (-110)
Murray State Racers -14.5 (-110) -1550 Under 149 (-110)
Team Data Southeast Missouri State Redhawks Murray State Racers
Overall Record 14-17 28-2
ATS Record 14-14-1 16-10-1
Points Per Game 75.5 79.3
Points Against Per Game 77.7 61.7
Field Goal % 43.8 48.1
Three Point % 34.5 34.9

Southeast Missouri State vs. Murray State Prediction:

Southeast Missouri State gave Murray State a big fight, but came up just short by 2 points at home. This is going to be different on a neutral court in the conference tournament, though.

The Redhawks must find a way to get that same form, this one on a neutral court versus the same team they just played.

Murray State is a very good roster, so if Southeast Missouri State expects the same lackluster effort from the Racers, this game won’t go nearly as well.

Murray State has an advantage in this one after seeing Southeast Missouri State in their last matchup. They’ve had enough time to evaluate what went wrong in that one and return with a better effort in their tournament opener.

The Racers are better than Southeast Missouri State on both ends of the floor. They are scoring 79.3 points per game on a 48.1% field goal percentage.

Murray State can shoot and score, Southeast Missouri can score, but they can’t shoot consistently. The Redhawks are scoring 75.5 points per game, though on 43.8% shooting.

Southeast Missouri State Redhawks vs. Murray State Racers Betting Trends:

Southeast Missouri State
  • 3-0-1 ATS in their previous four games as an underdog
  • 0-10 overall in their ten games versus Murray State
  • 2-8 ATS in their previous ten games verusss Murray State
  • 5-0-1 ATS in their previous six games
  • 0-4 ATS in their previous four games on a Friday
Murray State
  • 12-3-1 ATS in their previous 16 games after failing to cover the spread
  • 8-2 ATS in their previous ten games versus Southeast Missouri State
  • 18-0 overall in their previous 18 games
  • The favorite is 8-2 ATS in their previous ten games versus Southeast Missouri State
  • 5-11 ATS in their previous 16 games on a Friday

Murray State holds a serious advantage over the Southeast Missouri State defensively. It didn’t show in their most recent meeting last week, but expect a different result with the Redhawks off their home court.

Southeast Missouri State is allowing 76.9 points per game on 45% shooting. Murray State wasn’t able to take advantage of their shaky defense in the meeting last week, though.

After a week to look at what went wrong, expect the Racers to come out firing in this one. In the Redhawks’ previous five outings, they’ve conceded 75.2 points a game on 44.1% shooting.

Conversely, Murray State has given up 56 points per game with a 39.4% FGA in their last five. Overall, the Racers are 21st in the NCAA, with 61.7 points against per game.

They hold a serious rebounding advantage, with the Racers 25th in offensive rebounding and 33rd in defensive rebounding in the NCAA. They are the best in both regards in the Ohio Valley.

In their last meeting, Southeast Missouri State stayed tight with Murray State, but Murray State blew them out in the first game of the season, 106-81. After a sloppy attempt last week, expect better from Murray State in an 84-66 game in the OVC Tournament at the Ford Center.


Southeast Missouri State vs. Murray State Pick
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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