Southern Utah Thunderbirds vs. Fresno State Bulldogs Pick – NCAAB March 28, 2022

There isn’t any NCAA Tournament action on Monday night, but that doesn’t mean we don’t have any college basketball. We don’t even have the NIT. There is The Basketball Classic with two games, though.

This is a tournament for the smaller schools that had a good season, but didn’t win their conference to get an automatic invite to the NCAA Tournament.

For schools of the lower-tier conferences, it’s the only way to get into the big dance. They aren’t taking a 23-11 team from the Big Sky Conference over a team with the same record from the Big Ten or ACC.

Southern Utah doesn’t have the strength of schedule over those teams, but considering their current form, the Thunderbirds might have been good for an upset or two in the NCAA Tournament.

Shooting the ball has never been a problem for Southern Utah and they’ve been on fire through the TBC. Motivation isn’t an issue in this tournament for the Thunderbirds.

They are on a three-game winning streak and have won five of their last six attempts. Three wins were as underdogs. In their latest win, Southern Utah knocked off Portland, 77-66.

Fresno State was a 21-13 team this season and dropped out of the Mountain West Tournament following a 53-46 loss to the San Diego State Aztecs. They couldn’t hit a shot.

The Bulldogs have responded well with a 83-74 win over Eastern Washington and 80-71 over Youngstown State. They will need to keep scoring against a Southern Utah team that can get hot in a hurry.

Head below for our free Southern Utah vs. Fresno State prediction on March 28, 2022.

Southern Utah Thunderbirds vs. Fresno State Bulldogs Betting Odds and Team Statistics:

The following odds are courtesy of MyBookie:

Teams Spread Moneyline Total
Southern Utah Thunderbirds +7 (-110) +250 Over 139.5 (-110)
Fresno State Bulldogs +7 (-110) -310 Under 139.5 (-110)
Team Data Southern Utah Thunderbirds Fresno State Bulldogs
Overall Record 23-11 21-13
ATS Record 14-18-0 17-15-1
Away/Home Record 8-7 13-4
ATS Away/Home 6-9-0 8-8-0
Points Per Game 78.8 65.1
Points Against Per Game 72.7 58.4
Field Goal % 42.7 44.4
Three Point % 34.8 33,3

Southern Utah vs. Fresno State Prediction:

Southern Utah has been shooting the lights out all season long. I don’t see it as much of a surprise that the Thunderbirds have made it this far and only two games away from winning a postseason tournament.

When the Thunderbirds are on from the field, they can’t be stopped. Southern Utah is 26th in the NCAA with 78.8 points scored per game. They are efficient with a 46.1% field goal percentage.

In their last five outings, the Thunderbirds have been making the most of their opportunities. They are shooting an impressive 49.7% from the field. Defense has been their sore spot this season, but holding up reasonably enough.

The Thunderbirds have allowed 72.2 points per game and a 44.1% field goal percentage through their last five attempts. They don’t tend to match up well versus teams that can score, but that isn’t the Bulldogs.

Southern Utah Thunderbirds vs. Fresno State Bulldogs Betting Trends:

  • 5-1 ATS in their previous six games
  • 4-1 ATS in their previous five games on the road
  • 4-0 ATS in their previous four games versus a team with a winning record
  • 4-1 ATS in their previous five games versus a team with a winning percentage better than 60%
  • OVER is 10-4 in their previous 14 games on the road
Fresno State
  • 0-4 ATS in their previous four games
  • 0-7 ATS in their previous seven games at home
  • 2-9 in their previous 11 games versus a team with a winning record
  • 1-4 ATS in their previous five games after a win
  • 1-5-1 ATS in their previous seven games on a Monday

Fresno State is 314th in the NCAA with 65.1 points per game. They aren’t the most dependable and can go cold from the field.

The Bulldogs are physical defensively, but any room for Southern Utah’s shooters, and they’re likely to get burned.

With 74 points allowed against Eastern Washington and 71 to Youngstown State in the TBC, I wouldn’t characterize them as being in great form.

Southern Utah in fact did a better job against their opponents, with 69 and 66 points allowed versus UTEP and Portland. I’m looking at 7 points and see that as too many in this spot.

The Thunderbirds are playing well and motivated to win the TBC. They should have a chance at forcing Fresno State into a tight ball game in the semifinals tonight.


Southern Utah vs. Fresno State Pick
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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