St. John’s Red Storm vs. Villanova Wildcats Pick – NCAAM February 23, 2021

The St. John’s Red Storm and Villanova Wildcats are scheduled to clash at The Pavillion on Tuesday night in Pennsylvania. This should be an entertaining contest in the Big East. St. John’s has a big opportunity in front of them against the top teams in the conference. A win over Villanova would serve their NCAA Tournament resume well.

I don’t know if it’d be enough, but it’s absolutely necessary to beat Villanova if they’re going to stay on the bubble. They’re coming off a really bad loss against lowly DePaul, 88-83, which gives them a big sore spot. That was at home against a DePaul team that recorded only their second win in the conference to move to 2-10.

The Red Storm have been incredibly undisciplined and inconsistent this season. They have a win against Villanova on February 3, 70-59, to show that they’re capable of beating the top teams in the Big East. Then we have the really bad from St. John’s, like we just saw against an awful DePaul squad. Can you say that St. John’s was looking ahead to Villanova? That’s certainly within the realm of possibility.

Having said that, St. John’s can’t go losing to DePaul and expect to get into the NCAA Tournament. A sweep of Villanova would most definitely do them a lot of good, though. They head into this contest with a record of 14-9 and 8-8 in the conference. St. John’s is currently the sixth best team in the conference record-wise. There is some company ahead of them in the Big East race.

If St. John’s wants to get into the NCAA Tournament, it might require winning the conference. That’s not going to be easy, nor is beating Villanova on Tuesday night going to be easy. Villanova already lost to the Red Storm this season. I am sure they are going to be much better prepared for St. John’s in this contest. Head below for our free St. John’s vs. Villanova pick on February 23, 2021.

St. John’s Red Storm vs. Villanova Wildcats NCAA Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • St. John’s +11.5 (-110)
  • Villanova -11.5 (-110)
Moneyline:

  • St. John’s OFF
  • Villanova OFF
Total:

  • Over 154 (-110)
  • Under 154 (-110)

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St. John’s vs. Villanova Prediction:

St. John’s did a tremendous job at limiting the Villanova offense in their first meeting. The Wildcats were held to 59 points, as only two members of Villanova were able to get into double digits. Caleb Daniels led the Wildcats with 16 points. I was on St. John’s in that game, so not overly surprised with the result of that contest, but didn’t see the Red Storm winning by double digits. It was a rare off night for the Villanova offense, which is typically reliable.

The Wildcats were able to respond with a 84-74 win over Georgetown and 96-64 win over Marquette. It was when they had to head on the road again that trouble started brewing. In a tough matchup against the Creighton Bluejays, the Wildcats fell by a score of 86-70. Villanova needed to return home to get things straight, as they dispatched UConn, 68-60, in their most recent showing on Saturday.

The Wildcats at home and on the road can be a different team. They’re a perfect 7-0 at home going into Tuesday night. Overall, the Wildcats are 49th in the NCAA 77.9 points scored per game. They are one of the better three-point shooting teams in the country, with a success rate of 37.4% from the field. Villanova is putting up an average of 81.1 points per game at home. After that terrible performance in their first meeting this season, I’d be surprised if the Wildcats don’t wake up and give St. John’s a lot of problems in this contest.

Expect Villavona to cut through the 313th best defense in the country. The Red Storm are allowing an average of 77.2 points per game this season. In their previous five outings, they’ve allowed about the same, with 77.6 points against. St. John’s are fully capable of scoring, and might need to do plenty of it tonight if they’re going to keep up and stay in the game. The Red Storm are 29th in the NCAA with 80.1 points scored per game.

They’ve been fine on the road as well, with 77.4 points netted per contest. St. John’s must be ready for what is likely going to be an offensive onslaught from Villanova. Stop them once, but doing it twice, especially on the road this time, is going to be incredibly difficult. They are going to have to fire away and hope shots fall. I think we’ll see more of a more high-scoring than the first meeting. The OVER is likely where we should look here.

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Our Bet
OVER 154
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.