St. John’s vs. Georgetown – NCAAM Pick – Wednesday, January 8

We have dozens of games to consider for the Wednesday evening College Basketball slate. A number of Top 25 squads are in action tonight, but our attention is drawn to an intriguing matchup between a pair of Big East rivals.

The St. John’s Red Storm will head to the nation’s capital to square off with the Georgetown Hoyas. The two clubs got off to good starts to the regular season, but they have both struggled since conference play began last week.

Both squads have dropped their first two conference games, and they face the risk of falling into a holw which will take some doing to dig out of. As such, this early season showdown is critical for both sides. Add in the historical aspect of this rivalry, and we should be in for a quality contest.

Let’s take a look at the matchup in full detail, starting with the way the oddsmakers see it.

St. John’s Red Storm vs. Georgetown Hoyas, 6:30 PM EST, FS1

Spread:

  • St. John’s +4 (-110)
  • Georgetown -4 (-110)
Money line:

  • St. John’s +160
  • Georgetown -180
Total Points:

  • Over 152.5 (-110)
  • Under 152.5 (-110)

Betting odds provided by Sportsbetting.ag

St. John’s vs. Georgetown Pick:

The Red Storm opened up conference play on New Year’s Eve with a home game versus Butler. It was a tight affair overall, but St. John’s came up short in a 60-58 defeat. The club was back in action this past Sunday with a road date at Xavier. They made a game of it once again but ultimately fell by a final score of 75-67 to drop the team to 0-2 in Big East play and 11-4 overall.

The Hoyas also played their conference opener on New Year’s Eve. They were on the road at Providence, and things didn’t work out too well. They walked off the court on the wrong side of a 76-60 decision. The team was back on the road last Friday night at Seton Hall. They wound up dropping another double-digit decision by a score of 78-62, dropping them to 0-2 in conference and 10-5 overall.

Rec. Conf. STK STD Polls
St. John’s 11-4 0-2 L2 7-Big East NA
Georgetown 10-5 0-2 L2 7-Big East NA

Before opening up Big East play, St. John’s was off to a good start. The team started off at 4-2, but they caught fire from there and won their next seven games in a row. Over that impressive run, six of the victories came by 10 points or more. The club wrapped up non-conference play with a mark of 11-2. They were underdogs versus both Butler and Xavier, but an 0-2 start isn’t what the team was looking for.

It’s a similar story for Georgetown. The team fared pretty well before Big East play began. After opening up at 4-3 – going 1-1 versus ranked teams while doing so – the team went on a run and ripped off six straight victories. The last five of those wins were of the double-digit variety. While the Hoyas were on the road for the first two conference games, double-digit losses in both was not the goal.

PPG PtsAll FG%
STJ 77.5 66.9 41.7
GTWN 79.1 72.6 45.5
REB AST BLK
41.5 14.4 5.1
40.7 15.7 4.7
STL FT% 3P% TOPG
10.5 69.8 29.2 12.3
6.7 75.8 35.1 15.0

Statistically, Georgetown has a slight edge on offense, while St. John’s is the stronger defensive squad. The Hoyas are the stronger shooting team across the board, but they’re also turning the ball over more times per game. When you take a look at the Red Storm’s aggressiveness with steals per game of 10.5, that could prove to be a factor in this evening’s festivities.

Mustapha Heron has a slight lead over LJ Figueroa for top score on the Red Storm. Heron is averaging 14.7 points per game, while Figueroa checks in at 14.6. Josh Roberts is tops in rebounding with 7.7 per contest, while Nick Rutherford is tops in assists at 3.1. Figueroa tops the rotation with 27.1 minutes per game. Five other St. John’s players are averaging 20+ minutes per game.

Omer Yurtseven tops Georgetown in scoring and rebounding at 17.3 and 9.8 per game respectively. James Akinjo leads with 4.4 assists per contest, and he also chips in 13.4 points per game. He tops the rotation with an average of 30.7 minutes, slightly ahead of Jagan Mosely and his 30.5. Four other members of the Hoyas are averaging at least 20 minutes per contest.

Recent History

For the last 10 meetings between these two programs, Georgetown holds a slight 6-4 edge. Last year, the clubs split two meetings with the road side winning each time. St. John’s picked up a 97-94 overtime win in the first meeting, while Georgetown returned the favor with an 89-78 victory in the rematch.

This season, St. John’s is 9-4-2 against the spread and 4-10-1 on the Over/Under. Georgetown is 8-7 ATS and 8-7 on totals.

Since 2017, the Red Storm are 3-13 straight-up in the role of a road underdog and 9-6-1 ATS. The Hoyas are 25-8 overall as a home favorite over that span and 12-21 ATS.

The Verdict

These two conference rivals are both looking to bounce back from tough starts in Big East play. The loser of this tilt will be 0-3 in conference games to date, and that’s simply not a position that either side wants to be in.

As such, that should translate into a close and tight affair. Georgetown has lost two straight on the road by double digits, but we should see a better effort for the return home. The Hoyas have the overall shooting advantage, so that’s a big plus on the home court as well.

However, St. John’s is the stronger defensive team and has a nose for turnovers. They can keep this one close until the final minutes. Red Storm plus the points is the call, and an outright win is a distinct possibility.

The Bet
ST. JOHN’S RED STORM +4
-110
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Chris Feery / Author

Chris has been covering sports professionally since 2014. Initially focused on the NFL and College Football, he has branched out to cover all of the other major team sports such as MLB, NHL, NBA, and College Basketball. Chris also has extensive experience in the world of fantasy sports. His work has been recognized on two separate occasions by the Fantasy Sports Writer's Association. From parlays to power rankings and previews to picks, Chris prides himself on delivering exceptional content with actionable information.