Stanford Cardinal at Arizona Wildcats – NCAAM January 28

Stanford Cardinal (9-5, 5-3) at Arizona Wildcats (12-3, 6-3)

Time:  7 PST – 9 CST – 10 EST
Place: McKale Center, Tucson, Ariz.
TV: ESPN2

Tip-Off:

The Wildcats have controlled the series with a 68-29 ledger as they are 20-1 vs. the Cardinal in the Sean Miller era. Stanford ended that 19-game losing streak to the Wildcats in Dec. when they took a 78-75 win in Santa Cruz. Oscar de Silva led Stanford with 21 points as the Cardinal shot 52.7 percent from the floor. Jemarl Baker led all scorers for the Wildcats with 29 points.

Injury Front:

The Cardinal will play without three starters as Daejon Davis has been out for over a month with a leg injury. Guard Bryce Wills (ankle) will also be out and freshman phenom Ziaire Williams (personal reasons) is also shelved. According to reports, none of the three players are on the trip to the desert this weekend.

Arizona’s Bennedict Mathurin took a spill in Monday night’s win over the Sun Devils and has been diagnosed with a sprained right foot and is questionable for tonight.

Vs. The Spread:

Stanford:

  • The Cardinal is 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games
  • The total has gone over in the last 6 Stanford games
  • Stanford is 4-9 ATS in it’s last 13 games against Arizona

Arizona:

  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of the Wildcats’ last six games
  • The Wildcats are 2-4 ATS over their last 6 contests
  • The UNDER has been the play in 4 of the last 6 between the Wildcats and Cardinal

Last Time Out:

Stanford ended a two-game losing streak with an Oscar de Silva scored on a lay-up at the buzzer on an inbounds play as the Cardinal took a 73-72 overtime win over UCLA on Saturday. Jaiden Delaire finished with 19 points as Stanford trailed by one after Tyger Campbell’s layup and free throw gave the Bruins a 72-21 lead with 5.5 seconds remaining.

Arizona swept a back-to-back over Arizona State with an 80-67 conquest in Tucson. Terrell Brown, Jr., scored 18 points and Azoulas Tubelis scored 16 and grabbed 12 rebounds. The Wildcats scored the game’s first 12 points and led 40-18 at halftime.

Teams Spread Money Line Total Points
Stanford +8½ (-110) +295 O 143 (-105)
Arizona -8½ (-110) -365 U 143 (-115)

Cardinal Stat Pack:

  • Through 14 games, Stanford ranks 17th nationally in defensive efficiency, per KenPom, while posting the 28th-best field goal defense in the country (39.3%).
  • The Cardinal is 8-0 this season when winning the rebounding battle, and 8-0 when scoring at least 70 points.
  • Stanford is the only power conference team yet to play at home due to the vastness of COVID-19 in Santa Clara County. Their homes games have been at the Golden State Warriors’ G-League facility in Santa Cruz.

For the Cardinal to Win:

Stanford Cardinal LogoWith the injuries still in play for the Cardinal, Oscar de Silva (19.8 ppg, 7.1 rpg) has to be a premier player for the Cardinal as he was vs. UCLA. He shoots 60.7 percent from the field and will look to score on the interior as he is averaging 21.5 points and 8.0 rebounds over his last four while shooting 52 percent during that stretch. Jaiden Delaire (11.1 ppg, 5.0 rpg) will need to give bigger minutes on the interior with production against the size and height of the Arizona front court. Michael O’Connell has stepped up on the point really well with Davis injured. He has averaged 3.1 rebounds and 3.0 assists in the last five games. They have to play with a solid presence against the interior of 7-1 Christian Koloko and 6-11 Azuolas Tubelis as well as 6-11 Jordan Brown who comes off the bench.

Wildcats Stat Pack:

  • Arizona’s defense punished Arizona State to start the game, holding them scoreless for the first six and a half minutes as the Sun Devils missed their first 12 shots from the field.
  • Redshirt sophomore Jordan Brown leads the ‘Cats with two double-doubles and ranks fourth in the Pac-12 in field goal percentage at 59.8 percent.
  • Azuolas Tubelis is second on the team and tied for 10th in the league in scoring at 14.0 ppg. He has been unnavigable on the boards for opposing defenses as he leads ‘Zona with 7.6 per game.

For the Wildcats to Win:

Arizona Wildcats LogoArizona is in a revenge situation after the loss to the Cardinal in December and will likely go hard at the Stanford interior early to get de Silva into foul trouble. Azuolas Tubelis shoots 51.7 percent from the field and goes hard to the offensive glass where he and  Christian Koloko have 36 and 31 offensive rebounds, respectively. With Mathurin likely to not play many minutes or not at all, you can’t dismiss the matchup of leading scorer James Akinjo against Stanford’s Michael O’Connell. This will be a mismatch in favor of Akinjo, especially on the offensive end of the floor where Okinjo averages 14.2 points per game and leads the Pac-12 in assists with 6.5 per game. Guard Terrell Brown has 53 assists vs. only 11 turnovers.

Winner: Arizona (-8½) 78, Stanford 68
O/U: Take OVER 143

The Bets
Arizona -8½
-110
OVER 143
-105
Sub Categories:
Kenneth Cross / Author

Kenneth Cross is a new entry to The Sports Geek staff as he has 25 years of experience in print, broadcast, and internet sports journalism. Cross is a lover of all sports, but college basketball is his passion. He estimates that he has seen around 1,500 college basketball games - live and in-person - and hopes that grows this season. If you listen to Radio, you have likely heard him on Sundays covering the Carolina Panthers for some 20 years. Now in Tampa Bay, he works as a national radio correspondent.