TCU Horned Frogs vs. Kansas Jayhawks Pick – NCAAB March 3, 2022

The TCU Horned Frogs and Kansas Jayhawks meet up at the Phog on Thursday night for a Big 12 matchup. The season is winding down, with Kansas and TCU having only two games left on the regular season schedule.

Some conference tournaments have already started in the smaller conferences. We are inching closer to when March Madness really begins to get crazy. TCU would like to shake things up in the Big 12 Tournament and create some madness.

The Horned Frogs head to Lawrence with a record of 19-9 and 8-8 in the conference. TCU has been fine this season, but a step behind the top-tier opponents in the Big 12, like the Jayhawks.

The Horned Frogs are coming off a 74-64 win at home over Kansas. That was an impressive display from TCU, as they upset the Jayhawks by 10 points as a 6.5-point underdog.

They lost four of six games before that one, so it was a great confidence booster and second in a row after beating Texas Tech, 69-66.

TCU has the back end of this home and home to complete on Thursday. If they can do that, the Horned Frogs are going to be in good shape for the Big 12 Tournament. However, expect better from Kansas at the Phog.

The Jayhawks are back home after back-to-back losses at Baylor, 80-70, and TCU, 74-64. The loss to Baylor ended a four-game winning streak for Kansas. I haven’t liked what I’ve seen from Kansas on the road; they’re fade material.

However, that doesn’t mean the Jayhawks can’t win at the Phog. They are 14-1 and have had success against TCU at home. Head below for our free TCU vs. Kansas prediction on March 3, 2022.

TCU Horned Frogs vs. Kansas Jayhawks Betting Odds and Team Statistics:

The following odds are courtesy of BetOnline:

Teams Spread Moneyline Total
TCU Horned Frogs +11.5 (-105) +520 Over 142.5 (-105)
Kansas Jayhawks -11.5 (-115) -700 Under 142.5 (-115)
Team Data TCU Horned Frogs Kansas Jayhawks
Overall Record 19-9 23-6
ATS Record 16-9-4 13-15-1
Away/Home Record 4-4 14-1
ATS Away/Home 6-1-1 8-6-1
Points Per Game 68.6 79.1
Points Against Per Game 68.8 64.4
Field Goal % 44.0 48.7
Three Point % 30.0 36.3

TCU vs. Kansas Prediction:

TCU has a defense that can force teams to work hard. That’s just what happened in their meeting against Kansas on Sunday.

The Horned Frogs looked impressive, holding Kansas to just 64 points in a 74-64 win. TCU is 46th in the NCAA, with 64.4 points against per game.

Doing it at home and at the Phog is different, though. They are going to need some offense, which is often difficult to find consistently for the Horned Frogs.

TCU is scoring an average of 65.5 points per game and a 44.9% field goal percentage on the road this season. It’s likely going to be tough to keep up with a Kansas team that can get hot in a hurry in Lawrence.

The Kansas defense has also held tough at home this season. They have allowed 66.8 points per game and a 40.9% FGA. If Kansas can hold them to around that offensive output, which is where I’m going with this game, the Jayhawks should cover.


TCU Horned Frogs vs. Kansas Jayhawks Betting Trends:

TCU
  • 2-18 overall in their previous 20 games versus TCU
  • 1-7 overall in their previous eight games in March
  • 0-10 overall in their previous ten games at Kansas
  • 4-0-1 ATS in their previous five games
  • 2-7-1 ATS in their previous ten games on a Thursday
Kansas
  • 19-1 overall in their previous 20 games at home
  • 15-5 overall in their previous 20 games
  • 10-4 ATS in their previous 14 games on a Thursday
  • 2-5 ATS in their previous seven games after failing to cover the spread
  • OVER is 9-3 in their previous 12 games

Kansas is shooting better than 50% at home this season. They have recorded an average of 82.3 points per game. This is up from their overall figure of 79.1 points per game and a 48.7% field goal percentage.

If the Jayhawks weren’t coming off too bad losses on the road, I’d probably point towards TCU in this one. However, on their return home, expect Kansas to be firing on all cylinders. Their focus is likely to be turned up for this one.

Kansas looks like a team to consider covering the spread on Thursday night. I’m looking at an 81-65 win for the Jayhawks.

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Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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