Texas Longhorns at Oklahoma Sooners – NCAAM Pick for March 4

No. 15 Texas (15-7, 9-6) at No. 16 Oklahoma (14-8, 9-7)

  • Time: 6PM PST | 8PM CST | 9PM EST
  • Location: Lloyd Noble Center, Norman, OK
  • TV: ESPN

Opening Tip

The Sooners are looking to end a three-game slide that saw them lose two four-point games to Oklahoma State and a surprising five-point loss at Kansas State.

Oklahoma has five wins over Top 15 competition this season as the Sooners are tied with Ohio State and Kansas for those honors. If the Sooners knock off the No. 15 Longhorns, they would be the first team in Big 12 history to defeat six Top 15 opponents.

Texas has a 7-2 record away from Austin as the Longhorns have won four road games and three played at neutral sites. The Sooners hold a 57-41 advantage in this series, but Texas is 32-20 in the last 52 matchups.

The Longhorns have won four out of their last six games although Oklahoma slid by Texas, 80-79, in an earlier meeting this year as Austin Reeves lead the Sooners with 23 points while Kai Jones had 15 points and 10 boards for Texas.

Vs. The Spread

Texas:

  • The Longhorns are 2-82-1 ATS in their last 11 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 12 of the ‘Horns’ last 15 games
  • Texas is 5-1 ATS in it’s last 6 games at Oklahoma

Oklahoma:

  • The Sooners are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 outings
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of OU’s last 6 games
  • The Sooners are 6-1 SU in their last 7 home games

Last Time Out

The Sooners dropped both games of the Bedlam series as they lost a 79-75 decision at Oklahoma State on Monday evening. Brady Manek scored 20 points and Austin Reaves added 19 as the Sooners led by five with eight minutes to go. Oklahoma held Cade Cunningham, who was coming off a 40-point game on Saturday, to two points in the first 30 minutes, but he scored 13 of his 15 down the stretch.

Texas took out Iowa State, 81-64, on Tuesday as the Longhorns shot 51 percent from the field and hit a season-best 20-of-23 free throws. Kai Jones had 17 points to lead the Longhorns while freshman Greg Brown scored 12 points to reach double figures in scoring for the 13th time this season.

Teams Spread Money Line Total Points
Texas +2 (-113) +105 O 143.5 (-115)
Oklahoma -2 (-107) -125 U 143.5 (-105)

Advantage, Texas

Texas Longhorns LogoThe Longhorns have to reel in the turnovers as they average 14 per game and have topped the average with 64 in their last four outings and their opponents have averaged 17.7 points off of those. Coach Shaka Smart has had solid play across the boards all season as Andrew Jones has upped his scoring average to 16.7 point per game in conference play.

This team is really solid at taking the ball to the basket as it averages 52.4 percent from inside the arc. Courtney Ramey and Matt Coleman join Jones as the trio is 79 percent or better from the line on a team that only makes 69.4 percent of it’s foul shots.

Key Longhorns Stat:

Andrew Jones has arrived on the scene in Big 12 play as he increased his 9.8 non-conference points average to 16.7 and his rebounds increased from 3.5 to 5.6. Jones also has five 20-point games in Big 12 action.

X-Factor:

Kai Jones has been a super sub off the bench this season as he is tied for third in rebounding at 5.0 per game while he is second in blocked shots with 17, third in steals with 21 and he is fifth in scoring at 8.7 points per game.

Advantage, Oklahoma

Oklahoma Sooners LogoComing back home after absorbing a three-game losing streak is in the Sooners’ favor. As Austin Reeves has grabbed most of the headlines this season, sophomore guard De’Vion Harmon has turned into the heart and soul of this team. Reaves is second in scoring in the Big 12 at 17.6 points per game and he is second in assists as well at 5.1. Harmon has made 21 of 41 shots in his last three games as he is playing his best hoops of the season while scoring a career-high 23 against Oklahoma State two games ago.

Key Sooners Stat:

Elijah Harkless came over from Cal State Northridge and has turned into a valuable contributor in a myriad of ways. He has started 12 games and averaged 7.2 points and 4.9 rebounds and posted at least three steals in seven different games.

X-Factor:

Getting Brady Manek back to where he was a year ago as a player has been a chore for Oklahoma this season. As his stats are down across the boards, Coach Lon Kruger hopes he will bottle the 20-point, 9-rebound effort in Monday night’s loss to Oklahoma State. Before that games, Manek had averaged only 6.8 points per game in the previous five contests.

Winner: Oklahoma (-2) 76, Texas 72

The Bets
Oklahoma Sooners -2
-107
Oklahoma Sooners
-125
OVER 143.5
-115
Sub Categories:
Kenneth Cross / Author

Kenneth Cross is a new entry to The Sports Geek staff as he has 25 years of experience in print, broadcast, and internet sports journalism. Cross is a lover of all sports, but college basketball is his passion. He estimates that he has seen around 1,500 college basketball games - live and in-person - and hopes that grows this season. If you listen to Radio, you have likely heard him on Sundays covering the Carolina Panthers for some 20 years. Now in Tampa Bay, he works as a national radio correspondent.