Texas A&M Aggies (17-8) at Missouri Tigers (17-8)
We lost a tough one last night when we took the Texas Longhorns at home against the Baylor Bears. The game was an exciting one, and we had lots of opportunities for the Longhorns to win and cover, but they eventually came up short 74-73 in double overtime.
This is a huge win for Baylor as they are now officially on the bubble and have to be considered when you are talking about the last four in or first four out of the NCAA tournament. For Texas, the Longhorns continue to slide, and they could very well see themselves slide to the wrong side of the bubble. Joe Lunardi had Texas all the way down at a 10-seed on his version of bracketology before they lost this very winnable game at home.
Things aren’t going to get any easier for Texas as they still have road games at Kansas State, Oklahoma, and Kansas left on the schedule. We will switch focus from two middle of the pack Big 12 teams to two middle of the pack SEC teams as the Texas A&M Aggies play against the Missouri Tigers.
The Texas A&M Aggies will travel to Missouri to play the Tigers Tuesday night in an SEC matchup. The Aggies seem to have righted the ship recently as they have won four straight games and find themselves back in the top twenty-five nationally, currently ranked 21st.
The Missouri Tigers have won four straight as well and are lurking just outside the top twenty-five. The Tigers are -1-point home favorites tonight. The game total over-under is set at 138 points. Tipoff is scheduled for 4:00 PM PST from Mizzou Arena.
This is a fantastic matchup of two of the better teams in the SEC this season. The SEC is as good as it has ever been as they are currently slated to have eight teams make the NCAA tournament. Not bad for a football league. Both of these teams could use a big win to solidify their tournament resumes as they look to move up the rankings.
Texas A&M spent time looking like a national title contender earlier this season. They have also spent time looking like a bust. The Aggies were great in the non-conference. They picked up huge wins against West Virginia, Penn State, and USC and gave Arizona all they could handle in Phoenix.
The Aggies rose to as high as number five in the AP Poll national rankings. Things were looking great for A&M, and then SEC play started. The Aggies lost their first five league games to the likes of Alabama, Florida, LSU, Kentucky, and Tennessee. They have now rebounded and have won four straight, including a huge road win against a top ten ranked Auburn team and a home court victory over perennial SEC powerhouse Kentucky.
Outside of that big win at Auburn, the Aggies have really struggled on the road in league play. They have lost games to Alabama, Kentucky, LSU, and Tennessee on the road. They have however managed to protect their home floor well, including a 60-49 win against this Missouri team on January 20th. They badly need to capitalize on their momentum and pick up a big road win tonight if they want to stay in the conversation for a high seed.
The Missouri Tigers have had a similar SEC season this year as the Aggies. Win at home, lose on the road. The Tigers have home wins against South Carolina, Georgia, Tennessee, Alabama, Kentucky, Mississippi, and Mississippi State.
But on the road, they have dropped games to Florida, Arkansas, Texas A&M, and Mississippi State. They play much better at home and luckily for Tigers fans that is where they are playing at tonight when they look to even the season series with the Aggies.
This number opened up at Texas A&M as -1-point road favorites. That didn’t last long as the sharps jumped all over it and quickly moved the number to where it stands now at Missouri -1. Home underdogs are a favorite of sharp bettors, and this one was no different.
If you take a closer look at the last time, these two teams matched up, you would see that Missouri shot an abysmal 27% from the field in the game. I don’t see any way that the Tigers shooting won’t improve on their home court tonight. I expect a much more competitive game this time around.
Both teams are hot and have nice winning streaks going, and both teams have identical 17-8 records. All other things being equal, I am always going to lean on the home team, especially in a league game.
Give me the Missouri Tigers at home -1-point tonight.