Toledo Rockets vs. Buffalo Bulls Pick – NCAAM February 19, 2021

The MAC has a good one in store on Friday night at UB Alumni Arena. The top-ranked Toledo Rockets travel to Buffalo for a showdown against a quality Bulls squad tonight. Toledo goes into this one with a cumulative record of 17-6 and 12-3 in the MAC. They are a really fun team to watch play.

I hope to see them win the conference and earn a ticket to the NCAA Tournament. If the Rockets get matched up against the right team, it could make for a must-watch game on the Thursday or Friday of the tournament. Don’t discount many other teams in the MAC, though. It’s far from a guarantee that Toledo are winning the conference.

This is one of the most competitive conferences in the country. Not the most followed conference in college basketball, but it’s certainly worth watching because the MAC has a lot of entertaining games. There are six teams in the conference above .500 in the MAC. Buffalo might be better than 9-6 if they played a full season.

We don’t really know where they’d be if the Bulls played a full schedule. Buffalo can shoot the ball, we do know that much. If Buffalo gets hot from the field, and it’s possible in any given game, they can beat anyone in the conference, including Toledo.

Despite playing a shorter schedule, Buffalo has a decent chance of winning the MAC. If the Bulls want to show that they’re capable of beating the best in the conference, they have a chance to do it tonight at home. On a neutral court, Toledo would certainly be favored in this spot. However, a big win for Buffalo in this contest would certainly give the Rockets something to think about.

It’s dangerous to get into a shooting match against the Rockets. They can light up the scoreboard in a hurry if they find an edge. If Buffalo wants to run the floor and go fast tonight, Toledo certainly has the talent to counter what the Bulls try to accomplish. This is going to be one interesting contest in Buffalo. Head below for our free Toledo vs. Buffalo pick on February 19, 2021.

Toledo Rockets vs. Buffalo Bulls NCAA Betting Odds:


  • Toledo +2 (-110)
  • Buffalo -2 (-110)

  • Toledo OFF
  • Buffalo OFF

  • Over 162 (-110)
  • Under 162 (-110)


Toledo vs. Buffalo Prediction:

We are likely going to see plenty of fireworks on Friday night in Buffalo. Toledo is one of the better offenses in the NCAA. They might not have the best defense out there, and will face a lot of problems against an elite shooting team in the NCAA Tournament, but are really fun to watch when they have possession. The Rockets have scored an average of 80.7 points per game for 26th in the country. They are coming off an impressive showing against Bowling Green, as they scored 87 points in a 87-75 victory.

That was the sixth straight game that Toledo has put up more than 80 points. And no, heading on the road hasn’t bothered the Rockets much. They’ve netted an average of 82 points per game on the road, slightly better than at home in Toledo. With the offense, though, Toledo is sacrificing a lot on the other side of the floor. Their defense needs some work, and will undoubtedly hurt them in March.

Toledo has allowed 72.3 points per game for 230th in the NCAA. The Rockets have watched that number go all the way up to 79.2 points per game on the road. Buffalo are stacked offensively as well. In fact, the Bulls are scoring more than the Rockets per game, with 82.2 points on the season. That is good for 14th in the nation, and in their last five games, they scored 84 points a game.

The Bulls are fresh off a 86-54 win over Western Michigan. They might be able to match those offensive numbers in this one, though good luck slowing down the Rockets to under 60 points. That’s not happening, and it would be a major accomplishment if they can hold the Rockets to fewer than 70 points in this contest. This should be a highly entertaining contest with defense optional. A 86-80 or 87-83 final score looks within reach for Toledo and Buffalo on Friday night.


Our Bet
OVER 162
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.