Tulane Green Wave at South Florida Bulls – NCAAM February 14

Tulane at South Florida

  • Time: 11 am PST – 1 CST – 2 EST
  • Place: Yuengling Center, Tampa, Fla.
  • TV: ESPNU

Opening Tip:

The Bulls are back in action after finally seeing the court on Wednesday against Houston after a 32-day break for covid. South Florida is 2-2 over the last four games with wins over UCF and East Carolina before the covid pause.

Tulane has lost three out of it’s last four and those losses are by 3, 4 and 8 points. The Green Wave is looking at it’s third game in five days after winning at Tulsa on Wednesday before a loss to UCF on Friday. The road weary Green Wave pull into USF as the team is looking to he lead in account for five postponements.

Tulane leads the series, 21-17, but has lost four of it’s last five in the series. Bulls coach Brian Gregory is 6-2 vs. Tulane, 3-0 as the coach at USF.

Vs. The Spread:

Tulane:

  • The Green Wave is 4-1 ATS in it’s last 5 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 7 of the last 10 Green Waves games
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of the last 7 games between Tulane and USF

South Florida:

  • The OVER has been the play in 8 of the Bulls’ last 12 games
  • USF is 1-4 ATS in the last 5 home games
  • The Bulls are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games

Last Time Out:

Tulane fell, 53-49 at UCF on Friday night as the Green Wave led by as many as eight points in the second half, but could not maintain the lead in a defensive struggle. Jaylen Forbes and Jordan Walker had 14 points apiece as the Wave scored a season-lo 19 points in the second half.

The Bulls fell at home against Houston, 82-65 after the 32-day break from covid. Trailed by as many as 28 in the second half but came back strong late in the second half behind the play of guard David Collins who finished with 18 points.

Teams Spread Money Line Total Points
Tulane +6 (-110) O 125 (-110)
South Florida -6 (-110) U 125 (-110)

Advantage, Tulane:

Tulane Green Wave LogoThe Green Wave needs to maintain its possession-oriented style of play as Tulane cannot afford to get into a helter-skelter game against the rested Bulls. Tulane’s defense allows only 63 points per game (29th/NCAA) and the Green Wave also have won the turnover battle in 13 of 16 games and forced the opponent into turnovers at least 15 times.

Key Green Wave Stat:

Tulane makes 78.8 percent of it’s free throws, which is 11th in the nation. That stat could come into play against the physical Bulls, if USF doesn’t disrupt the Green Wave offense to the point where the guards throw the ball away. Jaylen Forbes and Jordan Walker key the back court for coach Ron Hunter where Forbes leads the team in scoring at 15.3 points per game while making 36 threes. Walker sets the table with his 66 assists against 27 turnovers in 33.7 minutes per game.

X-Factor:

If Tulane can get anything at all out of it’s offense it will be a pluses the Green Wave is 340th in the NCAA in effective field goal percentage. This team shoots only 37.2 percent from the floor on the year as Tylan Pope is the only offensive threat as he shoots 46.5 percent from the field

Advantage, South Florida:

South Florida Bulls LogoAfter such a long lay-off, the Bulls brought the fight to Houston in the first half on Wednesday night and much of that was the joy of once again playing basketball. South Florida once again is looking to ramp up the scoring as the Bulls have a tough go from the outside, but do a good job working the boards and getting plays off the dribble.

The Bulls need scoring out of a third position beside of David Collins (12.6 ppg) and Alexis Yetna (10.9 ppg)

Key Bulls Stat:

The Bulls have had an easy time stopping the three, but struggle defensively in the pain where at times Alexis Yetna or Mike Durr get into foul trouble so that can manifest itself in a hurry. David Collins is a physical guard who is the quarterback of the team. He leads USF in steals with 21.

X-Factor:

Who steps up as a third scorer beside of Collins and Yetna will be a major key because it will put pressure on the Tulane defense and potentially cause it to collapse in the second half with so many games in such a short time. Freshman guard Caleb Murphy (9.8 ppg) could be the man, but it will have to be done off the dribble as he struggles shooting from the floor. Mike Durr (8.4 ppg, 8.0 rpg) on the inside is a solid player and could have an impact as well.

Winner: South Florida (-6) 63, Tulane 55
O/U: Take OVER 125

The Bets
South Florida -6
-110
OVER 125
-110
Sub Categories:
Kenneth Cross / Author

Kenneth Cross is a new entry to The Sports Geek staff as he has 25 years of experience in print, broadcast, and internet sports journalism. Cross is a lover of all sports, but college basketball is his passion. He estimates that he has seen around 1,500 college basketball games - live and in-person - and hopes that grows this season. If you listen to Radio, you have likely heard him on Sundays covering the Carolina Panthers for some 20 years. Now in Tampa Bay, he works as a national radio correspondent.