UConn Huskies vs. Villanova Wildcats Pick – NCAAB March 11, 2022

The Connecticut Huskies and Villanova Wildcats have a Big East Tournament matchup scheduled at Madison Square Garden on Friday night.

Kemba Walker is long gone from college, but this is a good UConn team that can go on a similar run. The NCAA Tournament will be a wide-open affair, and the Huskies could be up to disrupt the picture.

UConn is coming off a 62-52 win over the Seton Hall Pirates on Thursday. That’s a good win and 4.5-point cover for the Huskies versus a capable Seton Hall squad.

The Pirates had 21 wins this season, so they were no slouch. RJ Cole and Tyrese Martin scored 17 points each to lead the Huskies to a double-digit victory.

Connecticut enters Madison Square Garden with wins in seven of their previous eight attempts. Before the win over Seton Hall, DePaul was 75-68 losers against the Huskies.

UConn is playing good basketball at the moment, but a stiff challenge awaits versus Villanova at MSG. Villanova is coming off a 66-65 win over St. John’s on Thursday.

That was a close one, with St. John’s pressing Villanova right to the final whistle. The Red Storm held a 30-23 lead going into halftime but couldn’t sustain the lead.

After a sluggish first frame, the Wildcats’ offense opened up in the second. In any case, Villanova failed to cover the 6.5 points in a game that was closer than expected.

Villanova has won eight of their last nine outings, with the only loss coming versus UConn. The Huskies enter at 24-7 versus the 23-8 Huskies.

Head below for our free UConn vs. Villanova prediction on March 11, 2022.

Conneticut Huskies vs. Villanova Wildcats Betting Odds and Team Statistics:

The following odds are courtesy of BetOnline:

Teams Spread Moneyline Total
UConn Huskies +2.5 (-109) +125 Over 131.5 (-110)
Villanova Wildcats -2.5 (-111) OFF Under 131 (-110)
Team Data UConn Huskies Villanova Wildcats
Overall Record 23-8 24-7
ATS Record 13-17-1 15-15-1
Away/Home Record NEUTRAL NEUTRAL
ATS Away/Home NEUTRAL NEUTRAL
Points Per Game 76.1 73.8
Points Against Per Game 65.7 63.6
Field Goal % 44.0 44.4
Three Point % 35.4 36.6

UConn vs. Villanova Prediction:

UConn and Villanova played a good one in Connecticut on February 22. The oddsmakers got that one dead on, as the 2-point favorite Huskies won by a score of 71-69.

This was a nice response from UConn after dropping them at Villanova on February 5, 85-74. There isn’t much separating these two in terms of talent.

The Wildcats still have some pre-season hype to their name and have the brand recognition, but UConn is just as talented as Villanova. The Huskies are scoring 76.1 points per game for 54th in the NCAA.

Propelling UConn has been their ability on the offensive boards. The Huskies are the eighth-best team in the country in offensive rebounding.

Adama Sanogo and Isaiah Whaley can be a pain to deal with in the paint. Especially Sanogo, who is averaging 14.9 points and 8.7 rebounds per game.


UConn Huskies vs. Villanova Wildcats Betting Trends:

UConn
  • 7-1 overall in their previous eight games
  • 3-9-1 ATS in their previous 13 games
  • 1-4-1 ATS in their previous six games six as an underdog
  • UNDER is 6-2 in their previous eight games
  • UNDER is 4-1 in their previous five games in March
Villanova
  • 1-3-1 ATS in their previous five games
  • 2-6-1 ATS in their previous nine games after a win
  • 2-5 ATS in their previous seven games as a betting favorite
  • 2-5-1 ATS in their previous eight games versus a team with a winning percentage better than 60%
  • 1-4-1 ATS in their previous six games versus a team with a winning record

UConn holds up well defensively as well. They are allowing 65.7 points per game and a 40.2% FGA.

With Sanogo clogging up the paint, he forces teams to go outside and risk low-percentage shots. Along with shooting better than 50% from the field, Sanogo is averaging 2 blocks per game.

Villanova counters UConn with 73.8 points per game for 115th in the NCAA. In that regard, they fall behind the Huskies, who are 54th in points scored this season.

This Big East Tournament matchup has the makings of a game that goes down to the wire. It’d be best advised to have the points in a game that could go down to the final seconds.

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UConn vs. Villanova Pick
UCONN HUSKIES +2.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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