UNLV Runnin’ Rebels vs. Boise State Broncos Pick – NCAAM February 11, 2021

The UNLV Runnin’ Rebels are on the road in Idaho on Thursday night, as they have a date with the Boise State Broncos at Taco Bell Arena. Boise State is returning home after a tough couple of games against Nevada on the road. The Broncos lost both games in Reno by a score of 74-72 and 73-62. I think a lot of people thought Boise State was going to automatically bounce back against the Wolf Pack, though that was certainly not the case.

They did that against Colorado State after a 78-56 loss. Boise State came back for a 85-77 win in the next meeting on January 29. The same trend didn’t work for Boise State in their next stop on the road. Boise State hasn’t been home since a 73-51 win over Fresno State on January 20.

The Mountain West Conference is up in the air between five teams. Utah State, Colorado State, Boise State, San Diego State, and Nevada all have a decent shot at winning the conference. I don’t think there’s much talent separating these teams. It should make for an exciting finish in the Mountain West. Currently at the top of the standings is Utah State with a record of 14-5 and 11-2 in the conference.

Boise State is hanging tough, but they looked sloppy and tired against Nevada. They looked like a team ready to go back home finally. The Broncos have yet to play a game at home this month at Taco Bell Arena. They’ve been considerably better at home, so we’ll see if they are rejuvenated back in Idaho against UNLV. The Runnin’ Rebels head to Boise with two straight wins on their resume. They were winners over Air Force in back-to-back spots.

Don’t be fooled, though, because Air Force is one of the worst teams in the conference. It’s not much of an accomplishment, but UNLV was able to do what was asked of them in a 68-58 and 69-64 wins at home in Las Vegas. It ended a three-game losing streak, which included a loss against Utah State and two against Nevada on the road. Overall on the season, the Runnin’ Rebels are 8-9 and 5-5 in the MWC. Head below for our free UNLV vs. Boise State pick on February 11, 2021.

UNLV Runnin’ Rebels vs. Boise State Broncos NCAA Betting Odds:


  • UNLV +10 (-110)
  • Boise St. -10 (-110)

  • Boise St. OFF

  • Over 142 (-110)
  • Under 142 (-110)


UNLV vs. Boise State Prediction:

Boise State has to come back home with some pep in their step after losing it against Nevada in Reno. Mind you, Nevada is a rock solid basketball team that can beat anyone in the Mountain West. It isn’t a fluke that Nevada won those two games, though the Broncos certainly didn’t put their best effort out there in Reno. They are capable of a lot more than what we saw in the desert. Boise State is one of the better teams in the NCAA at scoring the ball.

They rank 46th in the country with 78.4 points scored per game. UNLV is a team of two tales at home in Las Vegas and on the road. Overall, they’ve hung in there with a pretty solid defense for 107th in the NCAA with 67.5 points against per game. Having said that, all of their good outings defensively have been at the Thomas & Mack Center in Las Vegas.

Their defense has been getting shelled on the road, with an average of 75.2 points conceded per game. UNLV might have beat Air Force in back-to-back games recently, but the way they won against a bad Falcons squad wasn’t impressive. Air Force is 4-14 this season with just two wins in the Mountain West. The Runnin’ Rebels had to fight to scratch out wins, failing to cover the 14 and 13.5 point spreads.

UNLV has failed to cover in five straight games, and have covered in just one of their previous seven. Where I see the Runnin’ Rebels having problems is frustrating a Broncos’ defense that has played lockdown basketball defense at home. Overall, Boise State is 49th in the NCAA with 64.3 points against per game. At home it gets much better, too, with only 56 points allowed per game. Boise State has been able to beat up on inferior teams this season and that is what UNLV is.

The Broncos have blown out San Jose State, Air Force, Wyoming, New Mexico, Fresno State, and Sam Houston State, in some cases multiple times. UNLV is another school that it looks like Boise State should be able to handle relatively easily. This is a “get right” game for the Broncos following a tough time in Reno against Nevada the past two games. They’ll be glad to be back home finally. Expect UNLV to compete in the first-half, while Boise State pulls away in the second for 14 or 15-point win to cover


Our Bet
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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