BIG vs. Astralis Betting Predictions | IEM XV Global Challenge Match Analysis

Big Vs Astralis IEM Global Challenge

The opening round of IEM Global Challenge matches is all over! Astralis and BIG took the wins in group A and are now going up against each other for a direct place in the playoffs. Yep, the winner advances to the semifinals. The losing side has to go through the hassle of the decider match where they’ll play against the better of Vitality vs. Complexity.

As you’ve come to expect, our BIG vs. Astralis predictions are here to shed some light on the highly anticipated matchup. Coming into it, the Danish side is the heavy favorite but the Germans ought to put up a proper fight.

But, more on both teams later on – for now, let’s see why exactly betting on IEM Global Challenge is such a good idea!

Betting on The Final Event of 2020

Yep, it doesn’t get much simpler than this! IEM XV Global Challenge betting opportunities are the last of what we can squeeze out of 2020! It’s been a rough year, no point denying that, but CSGO betting options were available all year long. Even when the whole sports world came to a halt, CSGO betting was still going rampant, be it via online events.

So yeah, if you’re thinking of betting on CSGO in 2020, no need to look elsewhere. This is the final big event of the year with plenty on the line for participating teams, some more so than others.

What’s that supposed to mean?

Well, BLAST Premier Circuit, that’s what! There are still two open spots for the upcoming BLAST Premier Global Finals scheduled for January next year… and BIG is one of three teams that will be eyeing their shots. The Germans aren’t really in a promising position – they need to reach the grand final of the event to qualify, and let’s just say that won’t be a straightforward task.

Enough with these silly calculations, let’s focus on BIG vs. Astralis predictions to get a better feel for the matchup!

BIG vs. Astralis Predictions

I guess now is the time to talk about the recent head-to-head clash! Yep, Astralis and BIG played on BLAST Premier Finals last weekend. That was their first h2h clash in 2020 and Astralis took a resounding 2:0 win on Dust 2 and Nuke.

Nuke was actually a pretty tightly contested match, but Astralis had just a bit more composure (and luck) in the end to close things out without going into the third map.

Right off the bat, I’d like to say I think we could see a very similar match tomorrow. My BIG vs. Astralis predictions won’t be based on that though, don’t worry! As usual, we’ll go through the form, map pool stats, and individual qualities before cementing with proper picks.

Let’s start!

Form

The start of 2020 was no good for Astralis. Heck, the whole year wasn’t particularly good for the Great Danes… up until October, that is. That’s when they finally got their legendary roster back and kickstarted their road to glory campaign. Not everything is perfect just yet, but Device and the boys are getting there, that’s for sure!

What about BIG? Well, the Germans were one of the biggest surprises of 2020, alongside let’s say Heroic and FURIA. They were the best team in the world this summer, following the absence of some of Europe’s finest.

Unfortunately, though, BIG couldn’t keep it up for an extended period of time. They’re not at the same GODLIKE level they were this summer, but they’re still better off than last year.

XANTARES and the BIG fellas will have to start giving 120% once again… if they are to start winning major events, that is. I’d like to see them budge against Astralis, but I’m pretty sure their map pool discrepancies will get the better of them.

Map Pool Stats

This is where things get interesting. This is where our BIG vs. Astralis predictions came crashing in one direction. Looking at the map pool stats, it’s quite obvious who the favorite team is. As far as match-winner betting on this one goes, the map pool really does tell you everything. It’s Astralis all day every day here, there’s just no other way around it.

However, the map pool stats of Astralis and BIG tell us way more.

They aren’t just useful for match-winners, but for other in-game specials too. You see, the only map BIG is the favorite on is Mirage… and you’ve guessed it, Mirage is Astralis’ permaban. This means they’ll have to choose a map they’re not 100% comfortable on and play it against the world’s toughest team. I wouldn’t want to be in BIG players’ skins, that’s for sure!

Individual Stats

Neither of these two teams are big on the whole individual talent thingy. I mean, yeah, they do have excellent individuals, but it’s more about teamwork than anything else… especially for Astralis who’ve made a name for themselves with pinpoint accurate executions and impeccable teamwork.

SyrsoN and XANTARES have been pretty good recently, but I don’t think their form will mean all that much against Astralis… especially considering their map pool mismatch!

BIG vs. Astralis Predictions
Astralis to Win 2:0!

A standard match-winner on Astralis goes for around -400 at the moment. And while that does reflect Astralis’ superiority coming into this matchup, it’s just not enough. It’s not enough for a single; it’s not enough for an accumulator either.

The best bet here is to go with a slightly riskier Astralis to win 2:0 wager which currently goes for -125. It’s the best value here, so that’s what I’m going with!

Why is it the best value? Well, just scroll back to the map pool stats section and everything will snap right into place. Not only is BIG the inferior team but their map pool just doesn’t work that well against Astralis. Last weekend, they got close on Nuke, that’s true, but I reckon we’ll see another 2:0 blowout here.

Donnie Mitchell / Author

Donnie hails from the Midwestern US and happily embraces the nerd stereotype. He likes writing about CS:GO, Overwatch, Fortnite, and anything esports-related, really. He also dabbles in the world of cryptocurrency and how that might tap into the esports betting world. Donnie stepped into the gambling side of esports just a few years back. Donnie is currently married and owns two large dogs, who may or may not be named after Mario and Luigi.