This particular article will focus on the player prop bets that are available at Bovada.lv. If you are looking for the funny, weird prop picks please access the main picks page. There are hundreds of player props out there with varying differences in prices and odds, so be sure to shop around for getting the best price available on whatever you choose to lay it down on. For many of the bets there is certainly value to be had. No matter what position you want to bet on, there will be a bet for you. I am going to address each position so you have some variety to choose from for Super Bowl XLVII. There are some people that make a killing off of these bets every year, so I know there are lots of you out there who get excited for the Super Bowl simply for the menu of prop bets at your disposal.
Total Points – David Akers (Over/Under 7.5)
There is no secret that Akers is the big question mark coming into the Super Bowl. If the 49ers had a reliable kicker that is money, I think a lot more people would feel comfortable backing the 49ers in this spot. Akers fell short against the Falcons last week again, missing a short one that nearly doomed the ‘Niners. Nevertheless, I am going to take the over due to the fact that the Ravens have one of the best red zone defenses in the NFL. There will be plenty of opportunities for Akers to knock home a couple of chippy’s. If he can manage to make two field goals, all we need is two 49er touchdowns to cash this bet. I expect Akers to hit a couple field goals from short range, perhaps a 2/3 performance, with the offense carrying the rest of the load for Akers.
Total Receptions – Vernon Davis (Over/Under 3.5)
I really like Vernon Davis to shine in this Super Bowl. While the Ravens’ linebackers are one of best in the league in plugging up the running game, Lewis and Suggs have lost their steps in the passing game. Davis has taken a back seat since Kaepernick has taken over at quarterback, but they have gotten Davis involved lately with 5 receptions last week against the Falcons. I believe the 49ers will have a game plan that utilizes Davis in the passing game across the middle.
Total Receptions – Michael Crabtree (Over/Under 6)
I think the worst case scenario is a push. Crabtree has matured into an integral part of the 49ers’ offense. In fact, he has developed into Kaepernick’s favorite target. It has been a career year for Crabtree, finishing with 1105 yards and 9 touchdowns. I think he finishes it off in style, hauling in 7 or 8 balls by the end of the night.
Longest Reception – Randy Moss (Over/Under 18.5)
You are probably more than well aware of the greatest receiver of all time debate between Randy Moss and Jerry Rice. Moss stated at media day that he is in fact the greatest of all time, Rice didn’t take it too kindly, firing back immediately with a response. Moss is one of those players that play’s whenever he wants to. He still has a little giddy up left in his step to have an impact in this game. The 49ers will use Moss to stretch the field and take it deep, most definitely opening up the possibility for a long strike downfield. With the number currently sitting at 18.5, I like Moss to at least have one reception for 20 yards.
Total Rushing Yards – Ray Rice (Over/Under 68)
The 49ers are one of the most difficult teams to run the rock against. They finished 2nd in the NFL in yards allowed on the ground, allowing only 92.5 yards per game. With 2 weeks to prepare for the Ravens’ offense, the 49ers should contain Rice. I like him to finish with 50-60 yards, keeping him under the posted total. I like Rice to be utilized more in the passing game with misdirection plays off of screens. Bernard Pierce has emerged as a bit of a threat in the backfield, keeping the ball out of Rice’s hands more often than in the past.
Total Rushing Yards – Anthony Dixon (Over/Under 1.5)
For those that aren’t aware, Dixon is one of starting running back Frank Gore’s backup. I am merely basing this pick on the fact that Dixon has eclipsed 1.5 yards in six straight games. He is a tough runner that is used in short yardage situations. I can see him getting a couple carries, which should undoubtedly push him over 1.5 yards.
Total Rushing Attempts – Frank Gore (Over/Under 19.5)
Regardless of what quarterback Colin Kaepernick says, there will be some butterfly’s deep down in his stomach early in this game. To take the pressure off of the rookie, I think Jim Harbaugh will be content handing the ball off to his featured back often. This could turn into a close, defensive battle with neither team getting much of an upper hand. Consequently, I like Gore to be used quite a bit in the Super Bowl. Last week he had 21 attempts, and I expect him to at least hit 20 here.
Total Rushing Yards – Colin Kaepernick (Over/Under 46)
Kaepernick has produced some big outings on the ground, but one of those was against the Rams and the inept Packers defense in the Divisional round of the playoffs. Last week he only ran for 21 yards, coming off of one 23 yard run. Kaepernick loves to juke around in the backfield, which will count as negative yards once he starts dancing. When he does go backwards, he usually goes back a country mile. With 2 weeks to prepare, the Ravens should do an excellent job containing the option game. Former Steelers’ quarterback Dennis Dixon has been taking snaps in practice to mimic Kaepernick. These practices against a speedy quarterback should help them out for Sunday.