The Friday night game (9:30 pm ET) game of the week features a Mountain West pairing for a week 13 meeting that should make for an exciting game. The Air Force Falcons (8-2) travel to Qualcomm Stadium in San Diego, CA to take on the host San Diego St. Aztecs (5-5) in nationally televised matchup. Air Force enters this game on a four-game winning streak after defeating Nevada 45-38 at home last week, their last loss came at Utah St. (34-16) in week 7. The Falcons also own impressive victories over Boise St. (28-14) and Navy (30-21). San Diego St. lost 38-29 at Boise St. last week, the Aztecs other losses have come to power conference foes North Carolina (31-27), Oregon St. (28-7); and conference rivals Fresno St. (24-13) and Nevada (30-14).
Air Force is ranked 42nd nationally in scoring offense with an average of 33 points per game and 44th among FBS teams in total offense with 437.6 yards per contest. Air Force is perennially one of the top rushing teams in the country and this season is no different as they rank are averaging 288.4 yards rushing and 149.2 yards passing per game this season. The Falcons rank 42nd nationally in points allowed with 23.6 per game and 32nd in total defense 349.1 YPG allowed.
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San Diego St. is ranked 94th nationally in scoring offense with an average of 24.1 PPG scored and 73rd among FBS teams in total offense with 387.2 YPG. The Aztecs rank 25th nationally in points allowed with 22 per game and 47th in total defense 378.2 YPG allowed. San Diego St. has been much better on both sides of the ball at home this season where they are averaging 31.8 PPG scoring, and holding teams to 13.8 PPG on defense in the friendly confines of Qualcomm Stadium.
Air Force vs. San Diego St. Spread, Line and Betting Odds:
Air Force Falcons +4.5
@ San Diego St. Aztecs-4.5
Over 50.5 (-110)
Under 50.5 (-110)
Betting odds taken from Bovada.lv
Air Force vs San Diego St. Pick
The Falcons are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 conference games, 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games. and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Aztecs are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games in November and 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall. The over is 11-4 in the Falcons’ last 15 conference games, 5-1 in their last 6 Friday games and 7-1 in their last 8 games in November. The under is 4-0 in Aztecs last 4 home games, 6-0 in their last 6 games on grass and 9-1 in their last 10 games overall. In head-to-head play, the under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings and the Falcons are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in San Diego and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 meetings overall.
The Falcons are one of the top running teams in the nation with their triple-option attack, and the Aztecs are, despite their lofty national ranking on defense overall, a middle of the pack team against the run allowing 150.9 YPG (52nd nationally). The trends both in terms of each team against the spread and against the total, are inconclusive with neither team looking strong ATS in recent play. The running game of the Falcons has given teams such as Boise St., who has only lost to top 10 ranked Ole Miss aside from the Falcons, a great deal of trouble this season. AS an underdog the Falcons are a solid pick here, take Air Force.