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Alabama vs. Georgia Pick – CFB October 3rd

In what amounts to one of the most anticipated matchups this weekend, Alabama and Georgia clash in an important SEC clash. Alabama at 3-1 can still get back into the top 4 if they win out and some things go their way elsewhere around the country. The Crimson Tide only loss came against Ole Miss at home, a tough loss to a very good Rebels team. Bama was worked pretty good in the 43-37 loss. A 43-37 game isn’t what you come to expect from an Alabama game regardless if they won or loss. Low-scoring defensive affairs is how Alabama wants to keep games, especially as they operate with a young inexperienced quarterback. The defense certainly has to help him out if they want to succeed. Every Alabama team that has gone the distance and won the National Championship have been anchored by the best defense in the country. The offense came a long ways with AJ McCarron at the controls, but it was always the defense that was the catalyst for their success.

Surrendering 43 points probably doesn’t sit well with Alabama. They aren’t going to win with that kind of output. Same story happened in the semifinals against Ohio State last year. The Crimson Tide did have a pretty solid offense then with Blake Sims, but allowing 42 points isn’t going to win many football games. Maybe a team like TCU can get by with that kind of philosophy, but Alabama has to slow the game down and win by making the game a low-scoring slugfest. Despite the 43 point allowed to Ole Miss, Bama has looked good on defense in other matchups. That was the only one they looked lost. Alabama will have one or two of those games a year it seems like. Perhaps it is better off that game occurred early in the season. An early season loss, rather than a late loss will bode better in rankings, and it could be seen as a wakeup call to Alabama. The Georgia Bulldogs are looking to upend Alabama this afternoon, just as Ole Miss, in attempt to signal a new era in the SEC.

Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Georgia Bulldogs College Football Pick

Betting Odds:

Spread:
Alabama +1.5(-110)
@Georgia -1.5(=110)

Total:
Over 51(-110)
Under 51(-110)

Odds provided by Bovada.lv

Alabama vs. Georgia Pick:

What a start to the season it would be if the Bulldogs can start 5-0. And what a win it would if it comes against the Alabama Crimson Tide. The Bulldogs have been riding a defense that has a few names you will more than likely find in the NFL draft in April. The defensive line up front, along with the linebackers are nasty and will look to pose problems for the Crimson Tide. In typical Alabama fashion, they will look to run the ball against the Georgia front. However, if the run game isn’t working, they will definitely need to resort to Jake Coker and the passing game. Coker has been adequate, passing for 786 yards with 8 touchdowns and 4 interceptions. However, three of those touchdowns came last week against UL Monroe. He made a couple of mistakes, tossing 2 interceptions against Ole Miss.

This will be his hardest test of the season yet. I don’t believe that Alabama is going to be able to get their run game going the way they want in this game. Jake Coker is either going to win this game for Bama or lose it. They need him to come up big. But if Georgia shuts the run down, Bama is heading onto a hornets nest. The Bulldogs are allowing only 107 yards per game on the ground. Conversely, they are allowing just 166 yards passing a game. That equates to one of the best defenses in all of college football. On the season, Georgia has allowed an average of only 13.5 point per game.

Georgia expects to use their potent running game, led by Nick Chubb in this one against Alabama. Georgia averages 257 yards per game rushing. Again, like Alabama, their inefficiencies on offense begin at the quarterback position. They’re passing for that much, but only passing for 233 yards a game. Now, that will work against the competition they’ve had up to this point, but as they get into the thick of SEC play, they need their QB to make plays. Alabama is allowing only 55.8 yards per game on the ground for 1st in the nation. They are also yielding 17.5 points against in 2015. Both teams will dare both quarterbacks to pass the ball. I don’t feel too confident in either, though. I like the defenses to prevail, in what should be a low-scoring game that is decided in the 4th quarter.

PICK: UNDER 51 POINTS (-110)