The New Year’s Eve bowl games kick off with the Advocare V100 Bowl at 12:30 pm ET featuring the Arizona Wildcats (7-5) of the Pac-12 Conference and the Boston College Eagles (7-5) of the ACC. Arizona finished the regular season with a 58-21 blowout loss at in-state rival Arizona St. and lost 3 of their last 4 with the exception being a 42-16 demolition of then-5th ranked Oregon. Boston College also dropped their regular season finale, to Syracuse by a score of 34-31 on the road, but the Eagles won 4 games in a row prior that. This game features two of the top rushers in the nation in Ka’Deem Carey of Arizona and Andre Williams of BC, who won the Doak Walker Award as the nation’s best running back.
Arizona ranks 35th among FBS teams in total offense with 452.6 yards per game and 42nd in scoring offense with an average of 32.8 points per game. Quarterback B.J. Denker has thrown for 2,241 yards with 14 TDs and 7 INTs for the Wildcats. Ka’Deem Carey has run for 1,716 yards with 17 TDs, and Denker is a productive run option as well with 898 rushing yards and 12 scores for a running game that ranks 11th among FBS teams with 265.8 YPG. The Wildcats ranks 67th among FBS teams in total defense with 405.3 YPG allowed and 45th in points allowed with 24.7 per game.
Boston College ranks 90th among FBS teams in total offense with 368.6 yards per game and 69th in scoring offense with an average of 28.4 points per game scored. The Eagles are not a passing team, ranking 113th in pass offense with 150.6 YPG with quarterback Chase Rettig throwing for 1,804 yards with an efficient 17 TDs and 6 INTs. All-American running back Andre Williams IS the Eagles offense with 2,102 yards rushing and 17 TDs for a unit that ranks 20th among FBS teams with 218.1 YPG on the ground. Alex Amidon leads the team in receiving with 67 receptions for 895 yards and 5 scores. The Eagles ranks 85th among FBS teams in total defense with 420.7 YPG allowed and 72nd in points allowed with 27.8 per game.
Arizona vs. Boston College Spread, Line and Betting Odds:
Arizona Wildcats -7.5
@ Boston College Eagles +7.5
Over 57 (-110)
Under 57 (-110)
Betting odds taken from Bovada.lv
Arizona vs Boston College Pick
When Williams rushes for at least 100 yards, BC is 7-2. When he does not, the Eagles are 0-3. The Under is 4-0 in Wildcats last 4 games following a ATS loss, and the Under is 4-0 in the Eagles’ last 4 bowl games. BC is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games against winning teams.
Boston College did not defeat a top-25 opponent this season, losing to both Florida State (48-34) and Clemson (24-14). Arizona was 1-1 against top 25 opponents, beating Oregon and losing to UCLA (31-26 in week 11 at home). With both teams featuring the run game, it may come down to who is better equipped to stop the run, Arizona ranks 70th against the run with 169.8 YPG allowed while BC ranks 50th with 152.8 YPG allowed. There is value here in the Eagles catching the points, Arizona does have a strong defense and BC should be able to pound their line with a heavy dose of Williams. Rettig is not flashy, but he does not make mistakes either. Take the underdog Eagles here.