The only game for week 15 of the 2011 college football season features two traditional rivals with the Army Black Knights (3-8) traveling to FedEx Field in Landover, MD to take on the Navy Midshipmen (4-7) this Saturday afternoon (3:30pm ET). Army has lost their last three games, including a 42-14 blowout loss at Temple their last time out on November 19 in which they were a 12.5 point underdog going into the game. Navy snapped a two-game winning streak with a 27-24 loss at San Jose St. their last time out, also on November 19 in which they were a six-point favorite going into the game. Army is 5-6 ATS this season, while Navy is 6-5 ATS.
The Black Knights rank #1 in the nation in rushing offense with an average of 350.9 yards per contest while averaging 25.2 points per game (75th nationally) and 398.9 total YPG to rank 48th nationally. The Army defense ranks 74th in the nation with 28.4 PPG allowed and 48th in total defense with an average of 363.8 YPG allowed. Navy also features a strong rushing attack on offense, ranking 4th nationally with 313.7 YPG on the ground while scoring 29.9 PPG (47th nationally) and ranking 43rd in total offense with 406.1 YPG. Quarterback Kriss Proctor is the linchpin for the Midshipmen’s option offense, leading the team with 817 rushing yards and 12 TDs and 774 yards passing with 7 TDs. The Navy defense has allowed 29.6 PPG (82nd nationally) and 417.4 YPG (85th nationally) on the campaign.
Army vs. Navy Spread, Line and Betting Odds:
Army Black Knights +7
@ Navy Midshipmen -7
Over 58 (-110)
Under 58 (-110)
Army vs. Navy Pick:
Army is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on grass. Navy is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games against a team with a losing record and 13-6 ATS in their last 19 neutral site games. The under is 8-1 in the Black Knights’ last 9 neutral site games and 7-3 in their last 10 games as an underdog. The under is 8-2 in the Midshipmen’s last 10 games on grass, and the over is 5-2 in their last 7 games as a favorite. In head-to-head play, the favorite is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 meetings, Army is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 meetings and the road team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. Navy has won 9 games in a row overall in the series, including last season by a score of 31-17 to cover the 7.5 point line.
Navy has dominated the series recently, and 3 of the last 4 games have been covers and blowout wins for the Midshipmen. This game will feature two run-oriented teams, and the ball will not be in the air much, if at all on Saturday. Army has had a porous run dense this year, allowing 185.7 YPG on the ground (92nd in the nation). Navy is only slightly better against the run, but that should be enough to allow them to pull this game out. Proctor is a bigger threat to throw than Army QB Trent Steelman, who is nursing an ankle injury but expected to play Saturday, and that gives Navy a little bit of an advantage here. Navy has played some higher-level FBS teams such as South Carolina and Rutgers tough this season, and overall the Midshipmen have the stronger team and more skill on offense. Expect Navy to run their streak in the series to 10 in arrow over Army and cover the 7 point line.