Atlanta Falcons at Los Angeles Chargers – NFL Pick for Week 14

Falcons (4-8) at Chargers (3-9)

Series

The Chargers have lost five out of their last six and the Falcons have won four out of their last seven but have lost two out of their last three. There have only been 10 meetings in history as the series dates back to 1973 and the Falcons own an 8-2 lead. The then-San Diego Chargers collected only their second win in 2016 with a 33-30 overtime decision in Atlanta. Seven of the ten games have been decided by one score or less.

Vs. The Spread

The Falcons take the field at 7-2 ATS in their last nine road games, and are 6-0 lifetime when playing at San Diego or in this case now, Los Angeles. The total has gone UNDER in five of three Falcons last seven games. The struggling Chargers are 0-6 ATS in their last six and the total has gone OVER in seven of the last nine Los Angeles Chargers games.

Teams Spread Money Line Total Points
Falcons +1.5 (-115) -102 O 49 (-110)
Chargers -1.5 (-105) -118 U 49 (-110)

Last week

The Falcons are usually in games with a chance to seal the deal, but usually come up short as they did last week at New Orleans in a 21-16 loss. They drove to the Saints 13-yard line inside of two minutes but a fourth down Matt Ryan pass fell incomplete in the end zone. The Saints stuffed Todd Gurley in holding him to (-7) yards on the two previous plays.

The Chargers were thoroughly embarrassed by the Patriots as the 45-0 loss was the worst in franchise history. LA has gone from losing close games to three decisive losses although the point spreads in the loss to the Bills and Dolphins didn’t deem as such. Kenneth Murray, Jr., had 14 tackles last week as his 81 through 12 games are the most in Chargers history through the first 12 games in a season.

When the Falcons Have the Ball

Atlanta Falcons LogoAtlanta is going to have to proliferate a consistent running attack to supplement Matt Ryan as the Chargers come in with the No. 6 pass defense in the NFL as opponents have been able to find only 214.4 yards per game through the air. Joey Bosa will come strong after Ryan as he leads the team with 7.5 sacks, 15 tackles for loss and 24 quarterback hits. The last five Chargers opponents have had 196 or less passing yards. Wide receiver Julio Jones is once again out for the Falcons.

When the Chargers Have the Ball

Los Angeles Rams LogoChargers quarterback Justin Herbert looks to bounce back after his first rocky performance of the season as he is 276 yards away from passing for 3,500. Wide receiver Keenan Allen checks in as his 614 catches are the third most in NFL history through 100 games. Austin Ekeler is back and should be able to stabilize the Chargers rushing attack as he also figures in the passing attack with a pair of 11-catch games vs. the Panthers and Bills. The Atlanta pass defense has put up good numbers in the past two weeks, but it’s been twice against Taysom Hill of New Orleans and then Derek Carr in the Raiders’ sleepwalking affair two weeks ago.

NFL Betting Predictions

Winner: Chargers (-1.5) 27, Falcons 24
Over-Under: Take OVER 49

The Bets
Los Angeles Chargers -1.5
-105
OVER 48
-110
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Kenneth Cross / Author

Kenneth Cross is a new entry to The Sports Geek staff as he has 25 years of experience in print, broadcast, and internet sports journalism. Cross is a lover of all sports, but college basketball is his passion. He estimates that he has seen around 1,500 college basketball games - live and in-person - and hopes that grows this season. If you listen to Radio, you have likely heard him on Sundays covering the Carolina Panthers for some 20 years. Now in Tampa Bay, he works as a national radio correspondent.