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Auburn vs. Georgia – CFB Week 12

The SEC has another batch of exciting, top-25 match-ups for week 12 of the 2014 college football season features a top 15 match up with major conference and national playoff implications. The 9th ranked Auburn Tigers (7-2) travel to Sanford Stadium in Athens, GA to take on the 15th ranked Georgia Bulldogs (7-2) on Saturday night (7:15 pm ET).The Tigers lost their second game of the season last week to Texas A&M, 41-38. Auburn has also lost to #1 Mississippi St. (38-23), and owns wins over SEC rivals LSU (41-7), South Carolina (42-35) and Ole Miss (35-31). Georgia pounded Kentucky 63-31 last week, to bounce back from a 38-20 upset loss to Florida the previous week. Their other loss was a week 3 38-35 loss to South Carolina. The Bulldogs own impressive wins over Arkansas (45-32) and Missouri (34-0) in SEC play and Clemson (45-21) in non-conference play.

Auburn is ranked 13th nationally in scoring offense with an average of 38.7 points per game and 11th among FBS teams in total offense with 506.9 yards per contest.. The Tigers rank 45th nationally in points allowed with 24.1 per game and 59th in total defense 386.3 YPG allowed.

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Georgia is ranked 7th nationally in scoring offense with an average of 43 PPG scored and 35th among FBS teams in total offense with 453.2 YPG. The Bulldogs rank 35th nationally in points allowed with 23.2 per game and 23rd in total defense 339.1 YPG allowed. Their run defense ranks 3rd in the country against the run (89.2 yards per game)

Auburn vs. Georgia Spread, Line and Betting Odds:

Spread:
Auburn Tigers +2.5
@ Georgia Bulldogs -2.5

Game Total:
Over 68.5 (-110)
Under 68.5 (-110)

Betting odds taken from Bovada.lv

Auburn vs Georgia Pick

Auburn is 11-3 ATS in their last 14 conference games, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in November and 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games against a team with a winning record. The Bulldogs are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 conference games, 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 home games and 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games against a team with a winning record. The over is 11-3 in the Tigers’ last 14 games on grass, 8-2 in their last 10 conference games and 13-5 in their last 18 games overall. The over is 19-7 in the Bulldogs’ last 26 home games, 13-3 in their last 16 SEC games and 19-7 in their last 26 games overall. In head-to-head play, the home team is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings and Auburn is 1-4 ATS in their past 5 trips to Athens. Auburn leads the all-time series 55-54-8, including a 43-38 victory over the Bulldogs last season when QB Nick Marshall connected with Ricardo Louis on a deflected 73-yard touchdown pass on fourth-and-18 with 25 seconds left to steal the win.

The key matchup will be the Tiger’s 7th ranked rushing attack which averages 286.4 YPG on the ground against the Bulldogs’ 56th ranked rushing defense which has allowed 153.1 YPG on the ground. The Bulldogs can pound the rock as well with the 14th ranked rushing attack with 256.3 YPG on the ground. Star running back Todd Gurley returns to a backfield that also features Freshman Nick Chubb (third in the SEC with 895 yards rushing), who tallied 671 yards and five TDs as Gurley missed the last four games with an NCAA suspension. Both teams can run the ball and do not feature dynamic passing games, but that does not mean they cannot score points. This game should be a shootout, and the trend strongly favors the OVER here. With both defenses showing weakness against top teams this season the OVER seems like a strong bet here when taken into consideration along with the trends for both teams.

PICK= OVER 68.5