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Auburn vs. LSU Pick – NCAAF Week 7

LSU welcome the Auburn Tigers for a critical matchup in the SEC. Other than Texas and Oklahoma, this looks like the most intriguing game of Week 7. LSU are still doing damage control, after losing to Troy a couple of weeks ago. Yeah, the same Troy team who had trouble with South Alabama this past Wednesday.

The Tigers regrouped and won a close won against Florida at The Swamp the following week, 17-16. I don’t think LSU is as bad as they looked against Troy, but at the same time, not a great team. The LSU Tigers are a 7 or 8 win football team or thereabouts. I don’t see them in the most glorious bowl game in 2017, but should get something decent considering they are LSU.

LSU have wins against BYU, Chattanooga, Syracuse, and Florida. Their only noteworthy win came against an overrated Florida team who has a high school offense. Not an impressive body of work. The Tigers get some small points for defeating Florida on the road, though. They luckily catch their toughest opponent, thus far this season, at home. Auburn have been hot on both sides of the ball. Everything has been coming together, and they look like a team ready to go far. You can never discount complete teams like Auburn, there aren’t many out there.

The Iron Bowl should be a classic, but it’s a long way to go before we get there. A lot can change between now and then, and LSU is hoping to change a lot for Auburn on Saturday afternoon. Auburn already has a loss, albeit, a close loss to Clemson by a score of 14-6. That is what you could call a “good” loss. Also, Auburn seems to keep getting better as they progress this season. We’ll see if LSU can ride homefield advantage to a victory. Head below for our Auburn vs. LSU pick.

Auburn Tigers vs. LSU Tigers Betting Odds:

Spread:
Auburn -7(-110)
vs. LSU +7(-110)

Total:
Over 44.5(-110)
Under 44.5(-110)

Betting odds provided by Bovada.lv

Auburn vs. LSU Pick:

Maybe if Auburn starting quarterback, Jarrett Stidham, was a little more comfortable in Week 1, they pull the upset. Clemson has a near perfect defense, so maybe it wouldn’t have meant anything if they played now. However, the Baylor transfer has been improving every week. Stidham got out of the mess at Baylor and made a wise decision going to Auburn. He not only has some pieces to work with around him on offense, there is a defense to help him out, too.

Auburn are 39th in the nation with 453 yards per game. The brunt of their yards come from their rushing attack. Kerryon Johnson is averaging 5.9 yards per carry, and 504 yards overall. As a team, Auburn are 22nd in the country, running for 228 yards per game. Auburn are passing for 224.7 yards per game, 70th in the country. So, this isn’t the same offense that Stidham came from at Baylor. LSU are 78th in the country on offense, and really lean on their defense instead. Danny Etling had just 16 attempts against the Gators. Like Auburn, LSU likes to pound the ball often.

LSU are 18th in the nation on defense. They boast a ferocious defensive line that is difficult to block. At home, I expect the LSU defensive line to step up. Auburn has a defense of their own, though. The most points they’ve allowed is 23 to Ole Miss, 7 of which came late and were meaningless. Overall, they are 6th in the country, allowing 13 points per game, 2 points behind Clemson. Conversely, LSU are allowing 18.8 points per game. This has the making of a slug fest between the defenses. I can see it being close throughout, with Auburn pulling away late. In any event, it looks like a 21-14 or 24-17 game.

PICK: UNDER 44.5 (-110)

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