The Bills are coming off their first win of 2010 while the Bengals lost to the Colts 17-23 last week in Indy. This week Buffalo travel to Cincinnati in a game that sees two losing franchises duke it out in a game that means nothing for the league but everything for the gambling nation.
As much as things change, they stay the same. Cinci were a 2009 playoff team, and divisional winner in the tough AFC East, but this year is proving last year to be somewhat of a fluke as the Bungals have reared their ugly heads again. They’re 2-7 on the year and Marvin Lewis has got to be the next head coach to be fired. With the talent that’s on this team and for them to be out of the race this early again this year is the coach’s fault. T.O is having a stellar year, leading the team in yards and touchdowns, but they’ve abandoned the running game which was their bread and butter last year, and the results have been poor. Averaging less than 95 yards per game on the ground has put extra pressure on Carson Palmer to perform at a level that he can’t perform at on a consistent basis. He’s thrown for 16 TDs and 11INTs, but has had 3 multi interception games (Car, Indi, TB). He faces a Bills passing defense this week that are 7th in the league in defensive passing yards.
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We’ve seen it week by week this year; the Bills are better than their record indicates. They play like every game is their last of the season, but they’ve come up short in 5 of their 8 losses, losing by a TD or less. Their last 3 games overall have been decided by 8 points combined, as this team have shown they can hang ‘till the very with some of the leagues better teams (NE, BALT,CHI,KC). They’ll look to pick up the running game where the left off last week vs. the Lions. Fred Jackson finished the game with 170 all purpose yards, 133 of those coming on the ground. The Bengals rank 22nd in run defense, so look for Buffalo to get Jackson going early and often out of both the running game and passing game. QB Ryan Fitzpatrick has 3 TDs and 3 INTs over his last 3 games. He’ll have to be on his game this week to keep Buffalo in it.
Bills vs. Bengals Spread, Line and Betting Odds:
Buffalo Bills +5
@ Cincinnati Bengals -5
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Bills vs. Bengals Predictions for Week 11 Betting:
Game Total Prediction (Top Play): These teams are actually quite similar in production this season, or lack thereof. Both are poor against the run, and both teams passing games have looked better than they actually are because of always playing from behind and ineffective running games. The Bengals put up an average of 20 points per game, and T.O has been playing at a very high level over the last few games. He faces his former team this week so you know he’ll want to get on the score sheet. Also look for Ochocinco to have a big game. Buffalo won’t be able to contain both of them the entire game, so I like a lot of points to be put on the board. The Bills will be once again throwing from behind, so I really like this game to go over. Two teams with nothing to play for at this point in the season usually means a high scoring affair. The Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
Spread Prediction: Cincinnati are actually playing better now than they have all season, and if Palmer can cut down his mistakes then they should finish the season strong. Buffalo on the other hand played a bad game last week at home against a very beatable Lions team. They won 14-12, but Fitzpatrick went 12/24 with 1 TD and 1 INT, certainly not the numbers you want your QB to get at home against the Lions. The Bengals played the Colts tough last week and I actually like them to win this game this week.