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Boise St. vs. Virginia Pick – CFB September 25th

Week four of the 2015 college football season features Friday night (8:00 pm ET) action with the Boise St. Broncos (2-1) of the Mountain West Conference traveling to Scott Stadium in Charlottesville, VA for a clash with the host Virginia Cavaliers (1-2) of the ACC in front of a national audience. The Broncos and Cavaliers both need this game badly after unexpectedly dropping games early in the season in the final seconds of the game that put their hopes for the national playoffs and a top-tier bowl game in jeopardy.

Boise St. opened the season with a 16-13 win at home over Washington, and followed that up with a 35-24 loss to BYU on the road that saw them lose on a shocking last-second touchdown from the Cougars’ Hail-Mary specialist Tanner Magnum. Last week the Broncos rebounded with a 52-0 whitewashing of an over-matched Idaho St. team at home. The Broncos lost their starting quarterback, sophomore Ryan Finley to a broken ankle last week, and will be forced to play two inexperienced QBs against Virginia. Thomas Stuart is a dual-threat QB while Brett Rypien is more of a traditional drop-back QB.

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Virginia opened their campaign with a 34-16 loss to a tough UCLA team on the road, and came home to Charlottesville in week two and lost a heartbreaker to Notre Dame 34-27 on a last second touchdown pass from Irish backup quarterback DeShone Kizer. Last week the Wahoos notched their first win of the 2015 season with a 35-29 win at home over William and Mary. Junior QB Matt Johns had an outstanding game against a talented Notre Dame defense, and has thrown for 790 yards with 6 TDs and 3 INTs this season. Defensively sophomore linebacker Micah Kiser leads the team with 32 tackles and 3.5 sacks, while sophomore safety Quin Blanding (25 tackles) patrols the secondary for the Cavaliers.

Boise St. vs. Virginia Spread, Line and Betting Odds:

Spread:
Boise St. Broncos -2.5
@Virginia Cavaliers +2.5

Game Total:
Over 49 (-110)
Under 49 (-110)

Betting odds taken from Bovada.lv

Boise St. vs. Virginia Pick:

Boise St. is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games, 17-8 ATS in their last 25 September games and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games on grass. The Cavaliers are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 home games, 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games against teams with a winning record and 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games. The over is 5-0 in Boise State’s last 5 road games, 5-1 in their last 6 games on grass and 9-3 in their last 12 games overall. The over is 5-1 in Virginia’s last 6 non-conference games and 4-1 in their last 5 September games.

Boise St. comes into the game with something to prove in a key non-conference game after losing to BYU in shocking fashion and seeing their college football playoff hopes seemingly go up in smoke. The Broncos will have the disadvantage of playing inexperienced signal callers in a high-profile road game, while Virginia starts a QB who has a great deal of experience against quality competition and should be able to handle the spotlight here. Friday night road favorites have a hard time covering, especially with their starting quarterback out, and Virginia badly needs this game to avoid being 1-3 entering ACC play. Take the Cavaliers as a home underdog here.

PICK-Virginia +2.5