Boston College vs. Florida State Pick – NCAAF Week 11

Another ACC matchup tonight, with the Boston College Eagles and Florida State Seminoles hooking up in Tallahassee. Boston College has desperately been looking for a signature win this season, with their biggest win of the year coming against North Carolina State two weeks ago. They’ve been blown out by Virginia Tech, Clemson, and Louisville. They also have a loss to Syracuse, 28-20. A win against Florida State would give them a much needed bright spot. At 4-5 this season, the Eagles are on the breaking point of a bowl game.

It isn’t the most impressive resume, though, at the moment. Check out the victories Boston College has on the year: UMass, Buffalo, Wagner, and North Carolina State. Fairly vomit inducing. Although, North Carolina State nearly beat Clemson, so I do give them credit for that win. Their defense did enough to take a 21-14 victory, only to get the doors blown off them the next week, 52-7 against Louisville.

Florida State come in on a disappointing note as well. They are 6-3 on the season which can be seen as a down year for the Seminoles. Additionally, they just barely beat North Carolina State, 24-20, and lost to Clemson two weeks ago. Understandably, though, FSU were still feeling the impact from the week ago against the Tigers. They were certainly a letdown spot after battling hard against Florida State, but were able to pull off a close win. The Seminoles are well out of the picture when it comes to the college football playoff, they can forget about that trip. However, they could bolster their bowl prospects with a strong finish to the season. Don’t bank on it being a top bowl or anything, though.

Lose to Boston College tonight and once again you’re going to hear about Jimbo Fisher’s job on the line. We already hear this earlier in the season, and to an extent, I don’t really understand it. You have to look at the big picture here. If they fire Fisher, who is the best alternative in the open market? Yeah, that’s what I thought. I think this noise is more so from spoiled fans who want Florida State to win the National Championship every year. I highly doubt it comes to fruition regardless of what happens tonight or in the immediate future. It would sure be nice to blow Boston College out, just like Clemson and Louisville have done this season.

Boston College Eagles vs. Florida State Seminoles NCAAF Betting Odds:

Boston College +21(-110)
vs. Florida State -21(-110)

Over 48(-110)
Under 48(-110)

Odds provided by

Boston College vs. Florida State Pick:

The key matchup in this game will be between Dalvin Cook and the BC defensive front. One of the premier backs in the country, Cook, was held to 58 yards in last year’s meeting. The Seminoles blanked Boston College by a score of 14-0. Boston College has long depended on their defense, but as we’ve seen this season, the elite offenses have been able to make quick work of them. BC allowed 52 points to Louisville and Clemson scored 56. Those are two dynamic offenses that come at you from any direction. Deondre Francois is a dynamic player, but he isn’t on the level of Deshaun Watson or Lamar Jackson, at least not yet. The Seminoles like to rely on Dalvin Cook churning up yardage, and he’s been doing a good job of it.

Cook has rushed for 1,134 yards and 12 touchdowns, along with 388 yards receiving. He’s going to be a hot commodity in the NFL Draft come April, in all likelihood, drafted as the second running back in the draft behind Leonard Fournette. Francois has paced the Seminoles for 12 touchdowns and 4 interceptions. He has also rushed for 89 yards with another 3 touchdowns. I think the best has yet to come for Francois. He is only a freshman, and has shown a good grasp of the offense. In time, I could possibly see Francois getting on Deshaun Watson’s level. This is an offense that goes through Cook right now. If he’s running effectively, then Francois will have a solid game. If Cook can’t help him out it’s where we see him struggle.

Boston College ranks 8th against the run, and this is after Lamar Jackson went wild on them. Francois won’t have the same impact Jackson had tonight. If the Eagles can slow Cook down, then they can make this is a competitive game. Boston College are allowing 106 yards per game on the ground. However, Boston College are completely anemic in the passing game, throwing for just 154.6 yards per game. Conversely, though, Florida State are 96th in the country defending the pass.

I don’t think the Seminoles are going to sleepwalk through this game, but I don’t see them getting up for a Friday night game against Boston College. If something were on the line I could see it, but at 6-3 they are just going to want to get through tonight with a win. FSU should be able to take an early lead and chew up clock with Cook. Boston College are serviceable against the run, so they should keep this within three touchdowns on Friday night.