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California vs. Air Force Armed Forces Bowl Pick – Dec 29th

Navy took care of business against Pittsburgh yesterday, and now Air Force takes the field a day after against California. It’s been a pretty good season for the two military schools, as both went to their conference championships. Neither won, but Navy and Air Force combined went 19-7, including the win from Navy yesterday. Air Force finished the regular season with a record of 8-5, losing a close battle to San Diego State in the Mountain West Championship game. California had a pre-season Heisman Candidate in their back pocket heading onto the season. Jared Goff takes the reigns one last time at California, as he embarks on his journey towards the NFL following this game. Highly regarded, and projected to be one of the first quarterbacks taken in the draft. However, Goff I feel didn’t do anything to assert himself as the clear number 1 quarterback in the draft.

I should note that it isn’t for certain that Goff will be heading for the NFL draft after this game. He may still head back for his senior season of college, but I think it would be in his best interest to go get his money now while he is healthy. Cardale Jones of Ohio State could have bolted to the NFL after bursting onto the season and leading the Buckeyes to the National Champions. He bypassed that idea and head back to Columbus. Not the wisest choice, as his stock has fallen significantly. There is no question Goff would be the starter at Cal next season, but the point here is that his stock could fall, burning money in the process.

Cal situated themselves as a mid-tier PAC 12 team. The offense had the firepower, but defensively they have been in rebuild mode. It isn’t the best when your offense is scoring, but the defense can’t hold anybody to under 30 points. Holding teams under 30 points in college football this day and age is a big accomplishment. If you watched the Navy game yesterday, you know what to expect from Air Force today. Navy ran it to perfection against Pitt, we’ll see if Air Force can do the same. Air Force operates out of the triple-option and as you may have watched, it can be a handful trying to keep up with. Find the Armed Forces Bowl pick below.

California Golden Bears vs. Air Force Falcons Armed Forces Bowl Betting Odds:

Spread:
California -7(-110)
vs. Air Force +7(-110)

Total:
Over 67.5(-110)
Under 67.5(-110)

Odds provided by Bovada.lv

California vs. Air Force Pick:

The offenses in this game couldn’t be more different than one another. Air Force will run the ball on the ground, trying to confuse California with misdirection and option plays. Conversely, Goff and California will spread the defense out and air the ball out frequently. Air Force would love to hang on to the ball and kill clock so Cal doesn’t have the opportunity to strike quick. If the Falcons cannot move the ball, Cal is going to gas the Air Force defense out throughout this game. Goff is too good not to dice a tired defense up. Goff has passed for 37 touchdowns and 13 interceptions this season for Cal. They have averaged 36.5 points per game this season.

36.5 points a game is great and all, but not when you’re giving up 30 a game in the same breath. Additionally, it isn’t great at all when the defensive line can’t stop a high school team. Cal has gotten gashed on the ground, as they are giving up 209 yards per game. Air Force will hit well over 300 yards on the ground in this game. They average 323 a game rushing. The Falcons can also throw the ball well, as they are throwing for 130 per game. It doesn’t look like much, but for a triple-option team it is pretty impressive. The Falcons are averaging 33.6 points per game. I see the safest bet in this game being the OVER 67.5. Both teams will score in different ways this afternoon.

PICK: OVER 67.5 POINTS (-110)