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Cincinnati vs. South Florida Pick – CFB November 20th

I had to take a second look at the schedule to realize that the regular season is very close to being done with. When I heard the Michigan/Ohio State game is next week, I was thinking where did the time go? It honestly feels like the season just opened last week. I say that almost every year, but for whatever reason it feels even worse this season. College football is my favorite sport to bet on, and soon it’ll all be over unfortunately. However, bowl season is one of my favorite times of the year. People say it’s just a bunch of pointless games, which is true in a sense, but there is so much college football during the day and at night that I don’t know how anybody could not like it. Some college bowl games turn into a puddle of crap, but there are others that turn into some fun, and hopefully money won as well. Take a look at the Bahamas Bowl last season between Central Michigan and Western Kentucky. The final play of the game ended on a crazy lateral sequence that rivals that University of Miami game. I say it rivals it, because, well Central Michigan actually legally scored on the play. It also had a hail-mary element to it, look it up online.

Okay, I have rambled too much. Now to Cincinnati and South Florida, where Cinci leaves the state where it’s cooling off to warm and sunny South Florida. Once I got there I wouldn’t want to leave and go back to Cincinnati, I can tell you that much. The goal in this game for the South Florida Bulls to avoid the letdown spot. They beat Temple last week, which is now seen as a pretty big accomplishment because of the year they’re having. Conversely, Cincinnati needs to keep it rolling after piling it on against Tulsa, a 49-38 victory. The offense was certainly on point, but of course the defense needed some work. The defense has been gasping the last two weeks, allowing a significant amounts of times against Tulsa and Houston. Houston is the real deal, and Cincinnati came within 3 points of beating them.

The Bulls have been quite the competitor at home this season, with a record of 5-1 so this looks like an interesting game to me. Both teams have bad losses on their resume, and there are some good wins as well. Their seasons have had similar paths to where they are. It is a big game in the sense that are both 6-4 and tied in the East of the American Athletic Conference. With a conference record of 4-2 and Temple 5-1, the Bulls will be able to catch them with a strong finish. A loss tonight would diminish that opportunity. We take a deeper look at the matchup now.

Cincinnati Bearcats vs. South Florida Bulls College Football

Betting Odds:

Spread:
Cincinnati Bearcats -2(-110)
@South Florida +2(-110)

Total:
Over 64(-110)
Under 64(-110)

Odds provided by Bovada.lv

Cincinnati vs. South Florida Pick:

The Bulls have been stingy at home, no doubt about that. Also, the defense has really ratcheted it up since the start of the season. South Florida hasn’t allowed more than 30 points in a game since week 3 against Maryland in a 35-17 loss. In college football, holding teams under 30 points every week is mighty impressive. They followed the Maryland game with another loss to a good Memphis team, but the only loss since came to Navy. From what I see, the Bulls lost the games they should have lost. They won what they should have won, other than last week against Temple which came as an upset. Since week 3 South Florida has allowed an average of 21.5 points per game. Quinton Flowers has also been playing good football at the quarterback position, passing for 14 touchdowns and 6 interceptions while running for 747 yards on the ground with 8 rushing touchdowns. He is a threat from all over. They are averaging 29.3 points per game in 2015.

Cincinnati has had all kinds of problems finding success on the road. Their only win away from home came against Miami-Ohio back on the 19th of September. Since then they have gone 0-3. Travelling to Florida against a good home team isn’t the place I’d want to go if I had troubles on the road. The offense has been playing well though, averaging over 40 points in their last four games. We will see if the offense travels with them to Florida.
The Bulls are going to look to pound the ball, they average 227.9 yards per game. There is a lot to account for with Quinton Flowers at quarterback. Cincinnati is vulnerable against the run, giving up an average of 186 yards a game. They are good against the pass, so to beat them there needs to be a ground game there, which the Bulls possess. The Bearcats average a gaudy 387.4 yards per game through the air. South Florida has to be feeling fortunate that they play well against the pass with just under 220 yards allowed per contest. I think you need to take the points with the home team in this spot.

PICK: SOUTH FLORIDA +2 (-110)