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Duke vs. Florida St. Pick – CFB Week 15

The 2013 ACC Championship Game will be played at Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte, NC between the 20th ranked Duke Blue Devils (10-2) and the top-ranked Florida St. Seminoles (12-0). The Blue Devils have won eight straight games after starting the season with a 2-2 record. Duke defeated in-state rival North Carolina last week to reach this game. The Seminoles polished off their perfect regular season after beating in-state rival Florida 37-7 last weekend.

The Blue Devils rank 40th in the country in scoring offense with an average of 33.7 points per game and 58th in total offense with 422.2 YPG. Quarterback Anthony Boone passed for 274 yards and two touchdowns in last week’s 27-25 victory at North Carolina. Running backs Josh Snead and Jela Duncan averaged 6.1 and 5.0 yards per carry, respectively. Duke’s defense is allowing only 23 points per game, which ranks a solid 37th in the nation this season; and the Blue Devils rank 57th in total defense with 395.2 YPG allowed.

The Seminoles rank 7th nationally in total offense with 526.1 yards per game and 2nd in scoring offense with 53.7 points per game. Quarterback Jameis Winston is a frontrunner for the Heisman Trophy, averaging a touchdown pass every 9.1 pass attempts for an offensive unit that has scored 50 or more points 7 times in 12 games. Winston has completed 68.8 percent of his passes for 3,490 yards with 35 touchdowns and eight interceptions. In addition to Winston’s exploits, the trio of Devonta Freeman, Karlos Williams and James Wilder has combined for 30 rushing TDs. FSU ranks 4th in total defense with 271 YPG allowed this season and #1 in scoring defense with a miniscule 11 PPG allowed.

Duke vs. Florida St. Spread, Line and Betting Odds:

Spread:
Duke Blue Devils +30
@ Florida St. Seminoles -30

Game Total:
Over 67 (-110)
Under 67 (-110)

Betting odds taken from Bovada.lv

Duke vs Florida St. Pick

In the last meeting between the two teams Florida State won 48-7 on Oct. 27, 2012 in Tallahassee and the Seminoles have never lost to Duke in 18 meetings. The Blue Devils are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 conference games, 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Seminoles are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games, 11-2-1 ATS in their last 14 neutral site games and 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games in December. The Over is 12-5-1 in Blue Devils last 18 conference games and 15-7-1 in their last 23 games on grass. The Over is 10-2 in Seminoles last 12 games overall, 5-1 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record and 8-2 in their last 10 games on grass.

The Blue Devils are huge underdogs and will be over-matched by this Florida State team that has manhandled all of their opponents this season, but 30 points is too many points to give on a neutral field in the Blue Devils home state. The Blue Devils are a hot team, but that run will end here, the only question is by how much. Expect the ‘Noles to win this one with relative ease, but Duke is a solid team and should keep this one respectable. Take Duke and the points here.

PICK= Duke +30