Week 2 of the 2013 college football season kicks off Thursday night (7:30 pm ET) with a Conference USA – East match up featuring the Owls of Florida Atlantic (0-1) a 34-6 loser at Miami (Fl.) in their opener last weekend traveling to fact the East Carolina Pirates (1-0) who won 52-38 over Old Dominion last week. The Owls finished with a 3-9 record last and an 8-4 record ATS on the year. The Pirates finished with an 8-4 record last season and a 6-6 record ATS.
FAU had a sluggish offensive performance last week against Miami, posting only 250 yards of total offense and 117 yards passing primarily from quarterback Jacquez Johnson (15-30, 83 yards). Offensively the Owls rely on running back Jonathan Wallace. Last season, Wallace ran the ball 175 times for 648 yards and 6 touchdowns.The Owls’ defense fared no better, allowing 503 yards of total offense and an astounding 303 yards rushing to the Hurricanes.
East Carolina exploded for 447 yards passing and 488 yards of total offense in their rout over Old Dominion. Pirates quarterback Shane Carden threw for 5 TDs after throwing for 23 TDs and over 3,100 yards last season. The ECU defense was also shredded last week, allowing 370 yards passing and 460 total yards last week.
Florida Atlantic vs. East Carolina Spread, Line and Betting Odds:
Florida Atlantic Owls +20.5
@East Carolina Pirates -20.5
Over 54 (-110)
Under 54 (-110)
Betting odds taken fromwww.Bovada.lv
Florida Atlantic vs. East Carolina Pick
East Carolina is 9-4 ATS vs. a team with a losing record and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The Owls are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 road games and 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games overall. The under is 18-5 in the Owls last 23 games in September and the over is 5-0 in their last 5 conference games.The over is 4-0 in the Pirates last 4 home games and 6-1 in their last 7 games overall.
East Carolina has a dynamic passing game that has the ability to score at will against a weak FAU secondary.FAU has not established that they have the talent at the quarterback position to take advantage of an East Carolina secondary that has shown vulnerability of its own. The Owls do not as of yet have a capable replacement for last year’s starter Graham Wilbert, and their running game is not dominant enough to control the clock and keep ECU’s offense off of the field for long stretches of time. The fast-paced ECU offense should be able to put up points early and often in order to establish a lead they will be able to extend as the game goes on. FAU’s inability to thrown the ball will not allow them to comeback from any deficit, which leaves them with little margin for error in this game. East Carolina will have the comfort of their home field environment as well, and the Pirates are a strong favorite in this game, but with their unfavorable trends against the spread that play is too risky to make here. The trends and the explosive ECU offense, when combined with the vulnerable secondary of the Pirates makes the relatively low total of 54 the play to make. Take the over in this game in what should be a high-scoring Thursday night affair.